Challenger HelsinkiChallenger 175Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying
Ritschard vs Saatela: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 9h 18mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Alexander Ritschard98%
Leevi Saatela2%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 A. Ritschard86%
2:1 A. Ritschard11%
2:1 L. Saatela1%
2:0 L. Saatela2%
First set
Alexander Ritschard91%
Leevi Saatela9%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes12%
no88%
Total games
Expected total: 18.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.5 | 82% | 18% | 97% |
| 15.5 | 70% | 30% | 94% |
| 16.5 | 58% | 42% | 88% |
| 17.5 | 48% | 52% | 80% |
| 18.5 | 38% | 63% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 29% | 71% | 63% |
| 20.5 | 23% | 77% | 55% |
Sample: 751 matches
Games handicap
A. Ritschard −6.555%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes14%
tour average 33%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Ritschard | Tour | L. Saatela | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | — |
| Return points won | 42% | 38% | — |
| Service games held | 83% | 76% | — |
| Breaks of serve | 31% | 24% | — |
| Aces per service game | 0.36 | — | |
| Double faults per game | 0.30 | — | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 18% | — | |
| Tie-breaks won | 5/9 | — | |
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | — | |
| Matches in the sample | 21 | — |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Alexander Ritschard
- 09/11/26LLuca Nardi#263Challenger Orleans · Q14:6 6:7
- 08/11/26WFerdinand Livet NovkirichkaChallenger Orleans · Q17:6 7:6
- 25/10/26WSvyatoslav Gulin#407Challenger Lisbon · F6:2 6:1
- 24/10/26WMarco Trungelliti#88Challenger Lisbon · SF6:1 6:4
- 23/10/26WSumit Nagal#264Challenger Lisbon · QF7:5 6:2
- 22/10/26WRaul Brancaccio#222Challenger Lisbon · R166:4 4:6 6:4
- 20/10/26WCarlos Taberner#456Challenger Lisbon · R326:1 7:5
- 19/10/26WAndrej Martin#352Challenger Lisbon · Q26:3 6:2
- 18/10/26WJoao Dinis SilvaChallenger Lisbon · Q16:2 6:0
- 09/09/26LSebastian Ofner#120Challenger Seville · R164:6 4:6
Leevi Saatela
- 05/11/23LOleksii Krutykh#432Challenger Helsinki · Q11:6 0:6
- 15/11/22LRyan PenistonChallenger Helsinki · R320:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Alexander RitschardLeevi Saatela
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Ritschard | L. Saatela | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 6–367% | 0–0 |
| Clay | 10–283% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
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