Nardi vs Ritschard 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: L. Nardi 56% · A. Ritschard 44%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 67% | 33% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 59% | 41% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 54% | 46% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 46% | 54% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 5,754 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Under 22.5out · 23 games
- Games handicapcovered
Match stats
| Luca Nardi | Alexander Ritschard | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aces | 6 |
| 5 | Double faults | 3 |
| 59% | First serves in | 49% |
| 76% | First-serve points won | 66% |
| 57% | Second-serve points won | 53% |
| 3/4 | Break points converted | 2/6 |
| 9/11 | Service games held | 8/11 |
| 68% | Service points won | 59% |
| 41% | Return points won | 32% |
| 76 | Total points won | 64 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Nardi | Tour | A. Ritschard | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 42% |
| Service games held | 76% | 76% | 83% |
| Breaks of serve | 26% | 24% | 32% |
| Aces per service game | 0.35 | 0.35 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.25 | 0.30 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 22% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 8/20 | 5/8 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 69% | |
| Matches in the sample | 38 | 20 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Luca Nardi
- 08/11/26WAlexander Donski#515Challenger Orleans · Q16:2 6:2
- 17/10/26LJacob Fearnley#87Challenger Olbia · SF2:6 4:6
- 16/10/26WMichael Mmoh#150Challenger Olbia · QF6:4 6:4
- 14/10/26WLorenzo Carboni#550Challenger Olbia · R166:4 6:1
- 13/10/26WAugust Holmgren#265Challenger Olbia · R324:6 6:4 6:4
- 05/10/26LPablo Llamas Ruiz#142Challenger Villena · R321:6 6:7
- 25/08/26LFederico Cina#139ATP US Open · Q14:6 0:3
- 11/07/26LAndrea Guerrieri#160ATP Umag · Q13:6 6:7
- 24/06/26LOtto Virtanen#127ATP Wimbledon · Q24:6 4:6
- 22/06/26WRio Noguchi#233ATP Wimbledon · Q16:2 6:3
Alexander Ritschard
- 08/11/26WFerdinand Livet NovkirichkaChallenger Orleans · Q17:6 7:6
- 25/10/26WSvyatoslav Gulin#407Challenger Lisbon · F6:2 6:1
- 24/10/26WMarco Trungelliti#88Challenger Lisbon · SF6:1 6:4
- 23/10/26WSumit Nagal#264Challenger Lisbon · QF7:5 6:2
- 22/10/26WRaul Brancaccio#222Challenger Lisbon · R166:4 4:6 6:4
- 20/10/26WCarlos Taberner#456Challenger Lisbon · R326:1 7:5
- 19/10/26WAndrej Martin#352Challenger Lisbon · Q26:3 6:2
- 18/10/26WJoao Dinis SilvaChallenger Lisbon · Q16:2 6:0
- 09/09/26LSebastian Ofner#120Challenger Seville · R164:6 4:6
- 08/09/26WRoberto Carballes Baena#266Challenger Seville · R327:6 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Nardi | A. Ritschard | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 12–1250% | 6–275% |
| Clay | 3–538% | 10–283% |
| Grass | 3–350% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Luca Nardi
- 08/11/26WAlexander Donski#515Challenger Orleans · Q16:2 6:2
Alexander Ritschard
- 08/11/26WFerdinand Livet NovkirichkaChallenger Orleans · Q17:6 7:6
Upcoming matches
- Nishesh Basavareddy vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert, · Challenger Orleans
- Hugo Grenier vs Kyrian Jacquet, · Challenger Orleans
- Felix Gill vs Massimo Giunta, · Challenger Hersonissos 3
- Francesco Maestrelli vs Johannus Monday, · Challenger Hersonissos 3
- Mattia Bellucci vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg, · Challenger Orleans
- Benjamin Bonzi vs Tom Gentzsch, · Challenger Orleans