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WTA 125 QuerétaroQualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Rodriguez vs Herazo Gonzalez 2:1: result and our tips

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Victoria RodriguezWTA #655Elo 1350clay 1395
2:1final6:7(5) 6:1 6:4
Maria Fernanda Herazo GonzalezWTA #708Elo 1355clay 1376

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Victoria Rodriguez75%
Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez25%

Elo: V. Rodriguez 53% · M. Herazo Gonzalez 47%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 V. Rodriguez54%
2:1 V. Rodriguez22%
2:1 M. Herazo Gonzalez12%
2:0 M. Herazo Gonzalez12%

First set

Victoria Rodriguez69%
Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez31%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 19.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.579%21%77%
17.570%30%68%
18.560%40%59%
19.551%49%52%
20.545%55%45%
21.542%58%42%
22.538%62%37%

Sample: 1,137 matches

Games handicap

V. Rodriguez −4.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes18%

tour average 20%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 19.5in · 30 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Victoria RodriguezMaria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez
1Aces1
5Double faults7
65%First serves in62%
64%First-serve points won58%
43%Second-serve points won24%
8/18Break points converted5/11
10/15Service games held6/14
57%Service points won45%
55%Return points won43%
102Total points won80

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

V. RodriguezTourM. Herazo Gonzalez
Service points won53%56%—
Return points won44%44%—
Service games held54%63%—
Breaks of serve39%37%—
Aces per service game0.16—
Double faults per game0.26—
Sets with a tie-break0%—
Tie-breaks won0/0—
Wins in straight sets——
Matches in the sample3—

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Victoria Rodriguez

Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez

  • 20/10/25LElina Nepliy#498WTA 125 Queretaro · Q26:7 3:6
  • 19/10/25WDaniela Martinez GuerreroWTA 125 Queretaro · Q16:2 6:4
  • 13/08/24LTatjana Maria#70WTA 125 Barranquilla · R320:6 1:6
  • 15/09/23LAna Sofia Sanchez#348WTA Guadalajara · Q17:5 6:7 1:6
  • 17/08/23LIrina Fetecau#898WTA 125 Barranquilla · R166:3 2:6 3:6
  • 16/08/23WPanna Udvardy#78WTA 125 Barranquilla · R327:5 6:3
  • 31/01/23LValeriya Strakhova#487WTA 125 Cali · R322:6 2:6
  • 06/11/22LDiana Shnaider#13WTA 125 Colina · Q13:6 2:6
  • 04/04/22LRebecca PetersonWTA Bogota · R324:6 3:6
  • 07/04/19LAliona Bolsova#621WTA Bogota · Q16:1 2:6 0:6

Elo over the last year

Victoria RodriguezMaria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

V. RodriguezM. Herazo Gonzalez
Hard court0–30%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.