Challenger Fort WorthChallenger 75Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Rottgering vs Rolland de Ravel 2:0: result and our tips

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Mees RottgeringATP #331Elo 1806hard 1788
2:0final7:5 7:6(2)
Cosme Rolland de RavelATP #781Elo 1653hard 1614

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 23.5Lost61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 23.5 games in recent matches: Rottgering 19 of 20, Rolland de Ravel 7 of 10 (tour average 63%); Rottgering: 7 matches in a row under 23.5 games

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won64%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    No third set in recent matches: Rottgering 19 of 20, Rolland de Ravel 7 of 10 (tour average 66%); Rottgering: 7 matches in a row without a deciding set

  • Tie-break in Match: NoLost69%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 66% → with the players' profiles 69%

    No tie-break in recent matches: Rottgering 18 of 20, Rolland de Ravel 6 of 10 (tour average 68%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.5Lost44%

Where the number comes from: market alone 42% → with the players' profiles 44%

Under 20.5 games in recent matches: Rottgering 13 of 20, Rolland de Ravel 6 of 10 (tour average 46%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Mees Rottgering68%
Cosme Rolland de Ravel32%

Elo: M. Rottgering 73% · C. Rolland de Ravel 27%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Rottgering45%
2:1 M. Rottgering22%
2:1 C. Rolland de Ravel14%
2:0 C. Rolland de Ravel19%

First set

Mees Rottgering63%
Cosme Rolland de Ravel37%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%29%71%
19.563%37%62%
20.556%44%54%
21.551%49%49%
22.544%56%42%
23.539%61%37%
24.537%63%35%

Sample: 5,112 matches

Games handicap

Mees Rottgering −3.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes31%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 21.5in · 25 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Mees RottgeringCosme Rolland de Ravel
5Aces1
9Double faults11
64%First serves in62%
75%First-serve points won67%
41%Second-serve points won41%
3/4Break points converted2/10
10/12Service games held9/12
63%Service points won57%
43%Return points won38%
88Total points won77

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. RottgeringTourC. Rolland de Ravel
Service points won62%62%63%
Return points won41%38%41%
Service games held78%76%80%
Breaks of serve29%24%30%
Aces per service game0.370.44
Double faults per game0.290.29
Sets with a tie-break9%17%
Tie-breaks won3/51/4
Wins in straight sets81%57%
Matches in the sample2610

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Mees Rottgering

Cosme Rolland de Ravel

  • 20/10/26WOzan Baris#402Challenger Fort Worth · R326:1 6:2
  • 02/08/26LAdrian Andreev#601Challenger Plovdiv 2 · Q14:6 1:6
  • 29/06/26LMarat Sharipov#225Challenger Troyes · R326:7 3:6
  • 20/06/26LMax Alcala Gurri#132Challenger Royan · F6:7 1:6
  • 19/06/26WLucio Ratti#370Challenger Royan · SF6:1 7:6
  • 18/06/26WRaphael Perot#335Challenger Royan · QF6:3 6:4
  • 17/06/26WGilles Arnaud Bailly#408Challenger Royan · R164:6 6:3 6:3
  • 16/06/26WGeoffrey Blancaneaux#446Challenger Royan · R322:6 6:3 6:3
  • 15/06/26WS D Prajwal Dev#686Challenger Royan · Q26:2 6:7 6:0
  • 14/06/26WJeffrey Chuan En HsuChallenger Royan · Q16:1 6:1

Elo over the last year

Mees RottgeringCosme Rolland de Ravel

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. RottgeringC. Rolland de Ravel
Hard court15–865%1–0100%
Clay0–06–367%
Grass1–233%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Mees Rottgering

Cosme Rolland de Ravel