Challenger Fort WorthChallenger 75Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Rybakov vs Artnak 2:0: result and our tips

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Alex RybakovATP #696Elo 1544hard 1519
2:0final6:4 6:4
Bor ArtnakATP #538Elo 1515hard 1489

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: RybakovWon61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Rybakov won the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches, Artnak lost the first set in 6 of the last 10 matches (tour average 50%); Rybakov: 5 matches in a row winning the first set

Other tips

  • Total Games: Over 20.5Lost58%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Rybakov 13 of 20, Artnak 7 of 10 (tour average 54%); Artnak: 4 matches in a row over 20.5 games

Long shot
Total Sets: Over 2.5Lost37%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Artnak: 3 matches in a row going the distance; A third set in recent matches: Rybakov 8 of 20, Artnak 6 of 10 (tour average 34%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Alex Rybakov65%
Bor Artnak35%

Elo: A. Rybakov 54% · B. Artnak 46%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Rybakov42%
2:1 A. Rybakov22%
2:1 B. Artnak15%
2:0 B. Artnak21%

First set

Alex Rybakov61%
Bor Artnak40%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 53%market (no margin): 53%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%71%
19.565%35%62%
20.558%42%54%
21.553%47%49%
22.546%54%42%
23.540%60%37%
24.538%62%35%

Sample: 5,517 matches

Games handicap

Alex Rybakov −3.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes33%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 21.5out · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Alex RybakovBor Artnak
2Aces2
1Double faults2
66%First serves in51%
82%First-serve points won61%
50%Second-serve points won67%
3/4Break points converted1/4
9/10Service games held7/10
71%Service points won64%
36%Return points won29%
62Total points won52

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. RybakovTourB. Artnak
Service points won62%62%59%
Return points won37%38%39%
Service games held76%76%71%
Breaks of serve20%24%25%
Aces per service game0.420.30
Double faults per game0.250.29
Sets with a tie-break13%10%
Tie-breaks won5/102/3
Wins in straight sets73%33%
Matches in the sample3112

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alex Rybakov

  • 18/10/26WKarl Poling#452Challenger Fort Worth · Q16:4 6:4
  • 28/09/26LLuca Staeheli#425Challenger Columbus · Q26:4 3:6 3:6
  • 27/09/26WMatthew Forbes#756Challenger Columbus · Q17:5 6:3
  • 21/09/26LOzan Baris#402Challenger San Diego 2 · Q26:1 3:6 4:6
  • 20/09/26WKarue SellChallenger San Diego 2 · Q16:3 6:4
  • 14/09/26LRyan Seggerman#565Challenger Tiburon · Q26:7 3:6
  • 13/09/26WDan Martin#652Challenger Tiburon · Q16:4 6:2
  • 23/08/26LOliver Bonding#658Challenger Roehampton 2 · Q17:5 4:6 3:6
  • 19/08/26LCharles Broom#264Challenger Roehampton · R165:7 3:6
  • 18/08/26WFaris Zakaria#499Challenger Roehampton · R326:1 7:6

Bor Artnak

  • 18/10/26WCooper WoestendickChallenger Fort Worth · Q16:7 6:2 7:5
  • 06/05/26LM. Cerny#678Challenger Brazzaville · R321:6 1:3
  • 28/04/26LBlaise Bicknell#412Challenger Abidjan 2 · R323:4
  • 09/04/26LRodrigo Pacheco Mendez#263Challenger Mexico City · R164:6 6:3 5:7
  • 08/04/26WAlan Magadan#504Challenger Mexico City · R326:3 4:6 6:4
  • 06/04/26WPatrick Zahraj#524Challenger Mexico City · Q27:5 6:4
  • 05/04/26WGuillaume Dalmasso#632Challenger Mexico City · Q16:3 6:3
  • 09/03/26LAidan Mayo#336Challenger Phoenix · Q10:6 4:6
  • 28/01/26LAndrew Fenty#456Challenger San Diego · R322:6 5:7
  • 27/01/26WJoshua Sheehy#763Challenger San Diego · Q20:6 6:3 7:6

Elo over the last year

Alex RybakovBor Artnak

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. RybakovB. Artnak
Hard court8–1535%3–443%
Clay2–433%3–260%
Grass1–150%0–0

Head to head

A. Rybakov 1–0 B. Artnak

  • 27/10/24Winner: Alex Rybakov7:5 7:6

Road through the tournament

Alex Rybakov

Bor Artnak