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WTA GuangzhouWTA 250Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Saigo vs Ibragimova 1:2: result and our tips

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Rina SaigoWTA #305Elo 1404hard 1392
1:2finalrebuilt6:3 2:6 4:6
Alevtina IbragimovaWTA #171Elo 1640hard 1575

Match chances

Winner chance from Elo (no market). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Rina Saigo26%
Alevtina Ibragimova74%

Elo: R. Saigo 26% · A. Ibragimova 74%

from Elo (no market)

Set score

2:0 R. Saigo18%
2:1 R. Saigo13%
2:1 A. Ibragimova21%
2:0 A. Ibragimova49%

First set

Rina Saigo34%
Alevtina Ibragimova66%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%

Total games

Expected total: 21.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.571%29%71%
18.562%38%62%
19.554%46%54%
20.547%53%47%
21.543%57%43%
22.537%63%37%
23.534%66%33%

Sample: 7,170 matches

Games handicap

A. Ibragimova −4.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

Tip worked out after the fact from pre-match data — the board was not published yet at the time.

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 20.5out · 27 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Rina SaigoAlevtina Ibragimova
1Aces2
5Double faults3
69%First serves in86%
60%First-serve points won56%
39%Second-serve points won54%
5/9Break points converted6/15
7/13Service games held9/14
53%Service points won55%
45%Return points won47%
86Total points won91

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

R. SaigoTourA. Ibragimova
Service points won51%56%53%
Return points won45%44%48%
Service games held51%63%59%
Breaks of serve37%37%45%
Aces per service game0.100.14
Double faults per game0.270.29
Sets with a tie-break0%6%
Tie-breaks won0/03/4
Wins in straight sets100%61%
Matches in the sample1230

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Rina Saigo

  • 17/10/26LHarriet Dart#115WTA Osaka · Q13:6 1:6
  • 04/10/26LYidi Yang#387WTA 125 Suzhou · Q13:6 3:6
  • 29/09/26LAlexandra Shubladze#133WTA 125 Jingshan · R325:7 3:6
  • 19/09/26LAlevtina Ibragimova#171WTA Seoul · Q13:6 2:6
  • 19/07/26LVeronika Podrez#136WTA Prague · Q24:6 1:6
  • 18/07/26WVictoria BervidWTA Prague · Q16:1 6:2
  • 13/07/26LPriska Madelyn Nugroho#461WTA 125 Istanbul 2 · Q24:6 2:6
  • 12/07/26WNaoko ETOWTA 125 Istanbul 2 · Q16:0 6:0
  • 03/02/26LFangran Tian#245WTA 125 Mumbai · R320:6 3:6
  • 25/01/26LPeangtarn Plipuech#735WTA 125 Manila · Q12:6 3:6

Alevtina Ibragimova

  • 05/10/26LRebecca Sramkova#142WTA 125 Suzhou · R322:6 3:6
  • 01/10/26LKyoka Okamura#241WTA 125 Jingshan · R167:6 1:6 3:6
  • 29/09/26WDarya Khomutsianskaya#304WTA 125 Jingshan · R323:6 6:4 7:5
  • 22/09/26LYeon Woo Ku#165WTA Seoul · R323:6 2:6
  • 20/09/26WSara Saito#254WTA Seoul · Q27:5 6:2
  • 19/09/26WRina Saigo#305WTA Seoul · Q16:3 6:2
  • 13/09/26LRositsa Dencheva#195WTA 125 Antalya 4 · F5:7 4:6
  • 12/09/26WAlicia Herrero Linana#227WTA 125 Antalya 4 · SF4:6 6:2 6:3
  • 11/09/26WAurora Zantedeschi#272WTA 125 Antalya 4 · QF6:2 6:3
  • 09/09/26WLeyre Romero Gormaz#131WTA 125 Antalya 4 · R167:5 6:1

Elo over the last year

Rina SaigoAlevtina Ibragimova

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

R. SaigoA. Ibragimova
Hard court4–931%4–544%
Clay0–014–767%

Head to head

R. Saigo 0–1 A. Ibragimova

  • 19/09/26Winner: A. Ibragimova3:6 2:6