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Challenger SeoulChallenger 175Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Sakellaridis vs Skatov 2:0: result and our tips

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Stefanos SakellaridisATP #132Elo 1777hard 1751
2:0final6:2 6:2
Timofey SkatovATP #200Elo 1688hard 1643

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 26.5Won68%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Skatov: 14 matches in a row under 26.5 games

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Skatov: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Stefanos Sakellaridis58%
Timofey Skatov42%

Elo: S. Sakellaridis 65% · T. Skatov 35%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Sakellaridis37%
2:1 S. Sakellaridis21%
2:1 T. Skatov17%
2:0 T. Skatov25%

First set

Stefanos Sakellaridis56%
Timofey Skatov44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 49%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.570%30%62%
20.562%38%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.549%51%42%
23.543%57%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 5,926 matches

Games handicap

S. Sakellaridis −2.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes39%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 22.0out · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Stefanos SakellaridisTimofey Skatov
9Aces0
4Double faults5
60%First serves in57%
79%First-serve points won52%
63%Second-serve points won42%
4/6Break points converted0/1
8/8Service games held4/8
73%Service points won48%
52%Return points won27%
58Total points won34

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. SakellaridisTourT. Skatov
Service points won65%62%62%
Return points won37%38%38%
Service games held79%76%76%
Breaks of serve24%24%23%
Aces per service game0.590.28
Double faults per game0.240.25
Sets with a tie-break18%18%
Tie-breaks won16/299/27
Wins in straight sets63%72%
Matches in the sample6966

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Timofey Skatov

Elo over the last year

Stefanos SakellaridisTimofey Skatov

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. SakellaridisT. Skatov
Hard court21–1460%12–1250%
Clay18–967%18–2047%
Grass4–357%2–250%

Head to head

S. Sakellaridis 0–1 T. Skatov

  • 05/10/26Winner: T. Skatov3:6 2:6