Sakellaridis vs Smith 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 60% → with the players' profiles 67%
Smith: 11 matches in a row over 20.5 games; Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Sakellaridis 11 of 20, Smith 16 of 20 (tour average 54%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 31% → with the players' profiles 35%
Over 26.5 games in recent matches: Sakellaridis 7 of 20, Smith 9 of 20 (tour average 27%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: S. Sakellaridis 71% · K. Smith 29%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 75% | 25% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 66% | 34% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 59% | 41% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 54% | 47% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 46% | 54% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 41% | 59% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 39% | 61% | 32% |
Sample: 5,793 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Under 23.0out · 31 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Stefanos Sakellaridis | Keegan Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Aces | 6 |
| 1 | Double faults | 1 |
| 70% | First serves in | 80% |
| 76% | First-serve points won | 75% |
| 60% | Second-serve points won | 72% |
| 1/5 | Break points converted | 1/8 |
| 14/15 | Service games held | 14/15 |
| 71% | Service points won | 74% |
| 26% | Return points won | 29% |
| 95 | Total points won | 96 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| S. Sakellaridis | Tour | K. Smith | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 67% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 79% | 76% | 85% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 18% |
| Aces per service game | 0.59 | 0.61 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.25 | 0.16 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 16% | 26% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 15/25 | 22/44 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 64% | |
| Matches in the sample | 67 | 70 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Stefanos Sakellaridis
- 05/10/26LTimofey Skatov#210ATP Shanghai · Q13:6 2:6
- 29/09/26LYuta Shimizu#393Challenger Jingshan · R326:7 2:6
- 11/09/26LLaslo Djere#179Challenger Genoa · QF1:6 7:5 5:7
- 09/09/26WDuje Ajdukovic#353Challenger Genoa · R167:6 2:6 6:4
- 07/09/26WMili Poljicak#286Challenger Genoa · R326:4 6:4
- 01/09/26LAndrej Nedic#244Challenger Como · R326:2 3:6 6:7
- 25/08/26LChristopher O'Connell#117ATP US Open · Q13:6 3:6
- 23/08/26LLuca Van Assche#45Challenger Quebec City · F1:6 4:6
- 22/08/26WTaro Daniel#177Challenger Quebec City · SF6:4 7:6
- 21/08/26WZizou Bergs#39Challenger Quebec City · QF7:6 4:6 6:4
Keegan Smith
- 06/10/26LHiroki Moriya#505Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:3 6:7 3:6
- 02/10/26LMitchell Krueger#340Challenger Columbus · QF4:6 6:7
- 01/10/26WBryce Nakashima#576Challenger Columbus · R166:4 3:6 7:5
- 29/09/26WKaylan Bigun#580Challenger Columbus · R324:6 7:6 6:2
- 23/09/26LDylan Dietrich#264Challenger San Diego 2 · R162:6 6:7
- 21/09/26WEdward Winter#350Challenger San Diego 2 · R326:3 4:6 6:2
- 15/09/26LMitchell Krueger#340Challenger Tiburon · R326:7 7:6 4:6
- 24/08/26LAlexis Galarneau#184ATP US Open · Q16:7 3:6
- 17/08/26LSoonwoo Kwon#161Challenger Quebec City · Q16:4 3:6 3:6
- 25/07/26LLuka Pavlovic#207Challenger Segovia · SF2:6 6:7
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| S. Sakellaridis | K. Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 20–1361% | 29–2455% |
| Clay | 18–967% | 6–367% |
| Grass | 4–357% | 4–450% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.