Sakkari vs Kostyuk 2:1: result and our tips
·
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Kostyuk: 11 matches in a row without a tie-break
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: M. Sakkari 29% · M. Kostyuk 71%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 68% | 32% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 60% | 40% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 53% | 47% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 48% | 52% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 41% | 59% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 37% | 63% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 35% | 65% | 32% |
Sample: 2,160 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 22%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 21.0in · 26 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Maria Sakkari | Marta Kostyuk | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Aces | 1 |
| 5 | Double faults | 1 |
| 74% | First serves in | 93% |
| 65% | First-serve points won | 57% |
| 70% | Second-serve points won | 33% |
| 5/10 | Break points converted | 2/4 |
| 11/13 | Service games held | 8/13 |
| 66% | Service points won | 55% |
| 45% | Return points won | 34% |
| 95 | Total points won | 76 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Sakkari | Tour | M. Kostyuk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 56% | 61% |
| Return points won | 43% | 44% | 47% |
| Service games held | 69% | 63% | 74% |
| Breaks of serve | 34% | 37% | 44% |
| Aces per service game | 0.30 | 0.36 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.23 | 0.39 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 11% | 10% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/11 | 4/10 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 71% | |
| Matches in the sample | 45 | 45 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Maria Sakkari
- 12/10/26WDonna Vekic#36WTA Wuhan · R646:4 6:2
- 05/10/26LElina Svitolina#6WTA Beijing · R324:6 5:7
- 03/10/26WStorm Hunter#150WTA Beijing · R646:2 6:2
- 25/09/26LTalia Gibson#41WTA Singapore · QF1:6 6:4 2:6
- 24/09/26WNao Hibino#196WTA Singapore · R167:5 6:1
- 22/09/26WLinda Fruhvirtova#157WTA Singapore · R326:4 6:1
- 03/09/26LYuliia Starodubtseva#44WTA US Open · R646:1 6:7 2:6
- 01/09/26WRobin Montgomery#153WTA US Open · R1282:6 7:5 6:2
- 17/08/26LIga Świątek#9WTA Cincinnati · R326:4 1:6 1:6
- 15/08/26WKamilla Rakhimova#69WTA Cincinnati · R646:2 5:7 6:1
Marta Kostyuk
- 17/09/26LLiudmila Samsonova#43WTA Guadalajara · QF6:4 2:6 5:7
- 06/09/26LLinda Nosková#8WTA US Open · R165:7 7:5 4:6
- 04/09/26WEkaterina Alexandrova#24WTA US Open · R326:3 6:2
- 02/09/26WSloane Stephens#133WTA US Open · R646:1 7:5
- 30/08/26WStorm Hunter#150WTA US Open · R1286:4 6:1
- 22/08/26LCoco Gauff#5WTA Cincinnati · QF2:6 2:6
- 19/08/26WMirra Andreeva#3WTA Cincinnati · R164:6 6:0 6:2
- 18/08/26WSloane Stephens#133WTA Cincinnati · R327:5 7:5
- 16/08/26WSofia Kenin#125WTA Cincinnati · R644:6 6:3 7:5
- 08/08/26LIga Świątek#9WTA Toronto · R166:3 1:6 2:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Sakkari | M. Kostyuk | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 19–1261% | 14–864% |
| Clay | 3–538% | 16–194% |
| Grass | 2–340% | 5–183% |
Head to head
M. Sakkari 1–1 M. Kostyuk
- 05/07/23Winner: Marta Kostyuk6:0 5:7 2:6
- 31/08/21Winner: Maria Sakkari6:4 6:3
Road through the tournament
Maria Sakkari
- 12/10/26WDonna Vekic#36WTA Wuhan · R646:4 6:2
Marta Kostyuk
First match in this tournament.