WTA 125 SuzhouQuarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying

Sasnovich vs Kalieva 0:2: result and our tips

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Aliaksandra SasnovichWTA #118Elo 1774hard 1765
0:2final3:6 6:7(8)
Elvina KalievaWTA #112Elo 1691hard 1678

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 21.5Lost60%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Sasnovich: 8 matches in a row under 21.5 games

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won67%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Sasnovich: 8 matches in a row without a deciding set

  • Match Winner: SasnovichLost75%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 75%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Sasnovich won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Lost46%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Sasnovich: 8 matches in a row under 19.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Aliaksandra Sasnovich75%
Elvina Kalieva25%

Elo: A. Sasnovich 62% · E. Kalieva 38%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Sasnovich52%
2:1 A. Sasnovich19%
2:1 E. Kalieva13%
2:0 E. Kalieva15%

First set

Aliaksandra Sasnovich67%
Elvina Kalieva33%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.573%27%70%
18.562%38%61%
19.554%46%53%
20.547%53%46%
21.540%60%41%
22.537%64%37%
23.533%67%33%

Sample: 1,645 matches

Games handicap

Aliaksandra Sasnovich −4.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes21%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 20.5out · 22 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Aliaksandra SasnovichElvina Kalieva
3Aces3
3Double faults2
63%First serves in66%
64%First-serve points won60%
41%Second-serve points won52%
3/5Break points converted4/5
6/10Service games held8/11
56%Service points won57%
43%Return points won44%
74Total points won77

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. SasnovichTourE. Kalieva
Service points won57%56%58%
Return points won46%44%44%
Service games held67%63%66%
Breaks of serve42%37%36%
Aces per service game0.280.35
Double faults per game0.310.36
Sets with a tie-break8%11%
Tie-breaks won3/118/14
Wins in straight sets79%53%
Matches in the sample5955

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Elvina Kalieva

Elo over the last year

Aliaksandra SasnovichElvina Kalieva

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. SasnovichE. Kalieva
Hard court23–1757%21–1362%
Clay8–657%9–756%
Grass2–340%2–340%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Elvina Kalieva

See also