Challenger FlorenceChallenger 50Round of 32claybest of three sets

Searle vs Giunta 2:0: result and our tips

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Henry SearleATP #220Elo 1721clay 1585
2:0final6:2 7:6(7)
Massimo GiuntaATP #365Elo 1682clay 1668

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Won63%

Where the number comes from: market alone 58% → with the players' profiles 63%

Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Searle 13 of 20, Giunta 14 of 20 (tour average 52%); Searle: 4 matches in a row over 20.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Lost40%

Where the number comes from: market alone 38% → with the players' profiles 40%

Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Searle 9 of 20, Giunta 9 of 20 (tour average 34%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Henry Searle35%
Massimo Giunta65%

Elo: H. Searle 38% · M. Giunta 62%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 H. Searle19%
2:1 H. Searle15%
2:1 M. Giunta23%
2:0 M. Giunta43%

First set

Henry Searle38%
Massimo Giunta62%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.572%28%59%
20.563%37%52%
21.557%43%46%
22.551%49%40%
23.544%56%36%
24.540%60%34%
25.537%63%30%

Sample: 4,544 matches

Games handicap

Massimo Giunta −3.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes40%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Over 22.0out · 21 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Henry SearleMassimo Giunta
8Aces1
1Double faults1
52%First serves in62%
86%First-serve points won58%
55%Second-serve points won66%
2/9Break points converted0/2
10/10Service games held8/10
71%Service points won61%
39%Return points won29%
79Total points won67

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

H. SearleTourM. Giunta
Service points won66%62%65%
Return points won37%38%36%
Service games held83%76%83%
Breaks of serve21%24%21%
Aces per service game0.490.54
Double faults per game0.210.20
Sets with a tie-break17%24%
Tie-breaks won6/127/17
Wins in straight sets68%75%
Matches in the sample3030

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Henry Searle

Massimo Giunta

Elo over the last year

Henry SearleMassimo Giunta

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

H. SearleM. Giunta
Hard court8–947%6–555%
Clay0–10%10–953%
Grass11–192%0–0

Head to head

H. Searle 0–1 M. Giunta

  • 13/10/26Winner: Massimo Giunta7:6 2:6 2:6