ATP ShanghaiMasters 1000Round of 64hardbest of three sets

Shelton vs Altmaier 2:0: result and our tips

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Ben SheltonATP #4Elo 2186hard 2169
2:0final6:3 7:6(6)
Daniel AltmaierATP #67Elo 1883hard 1815

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 22.5Won62%

Where the number comes from: market alone 70% → with the players' profiles 62%

Shelton: 7 matches in a row under 22.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Lost30%

Where the number comes from: market alone 26% → with the players' profiles 30%

Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Shelton 12 of 20, Altmaier 9 of 20 (tour average 39%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Ben Shelton89%
Daniel Altmaier11%

Elo: B. Shelton 89% · D. Altmaier 12%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 B. Shelton70%
2:1 B. Shelton18%
2:1 D. Altmaier6%
2:0 D. Altmaier7%

First set

Ben Shelton80%
Daniel Altmaier20%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes24%
no77%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 55%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.583%17%83%
18.574%26%75%
19.563%37%67%
20.552%48%58%
21.545%55%53%
22.538%62%45%
23.530%70%39%

Sample: 1,641 matches

Games handicap

Ben Shelton −5.543%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes39%

tour average 37%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 22 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Ben SheltonDaniel Altmaier
7Aces6
5Double faults0
72%First serves in66%
84%First-serve points won67%
45%Second-serve points won56%
2/6Break points converted1/5
10/11Service games held8/10
73%Service points won63%
37%Return points won27%
77Total points won62

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

B. SheltonTourD. Altmaier
Service points won70%62%62%
Return points won33%38%35%
Service games held89%76%76%
Breaks of serve15%24%19%
Aces per service game0.680.58
Double faults per game0.200.25
Sets with a tie-break28%17%
Tie-breaks won29/4811/23
Wins in straight sets48%56%
Matches in the sample6157

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Ben Shelton

Daniel Altmaier

Elo over the last year

Ben SheltonDaniel Altmaier

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

B. SheltonD. Altmaier
Hard court28–1270%8–1535%
Clay8–562%13–1350%
Grass6–275%4–450%

Head to head

B. Shelton 0–1 D. Altmaier

  • 19/05/26Winner: Daniel Altmaier6:4 6:7 4:6

Road through the tournament

Ben Shelton

First match in this tournament.

Daniel Altmaier