WTA WuhanWTA 1000Round of 32hardbest of three sets
Shi vs Fernandez: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 7h 30mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Han Shi23%
Leylah Fernandez77%
Elo: H. Shi 24% · L. Fernandez 76%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 H. Shi12%
2:1 H. Shi12%
2:1 L. Fernandez22%
2:0 L. Fernandez55%
First set
Han Shi29%
Leylah Fernandez71%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 20.0 · 48%market (no margin): 49%
The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 72% | 28% | 72% |
| 18.5 | 63% | 37% | 63% |
| 19.5 | 55% | 45% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 48% | 52% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 43% | 57% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 37% | 63% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 33% | 67% | 34% |
Sample: 1,571 matches
Games handicap
Leylah Fernandez −4.553%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes21%
tour average 22%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| H. Shi | Tour | L. Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 57% | 56% | 59% |
| Return points won | 46% | 44% | 43% |
| Service games held | 65% | 63% | 71% |
| Breaks of serve | 41% | 37% | 34% |
| Aces per service game | 0.30 | 0.23 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.33 | 0.38 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 9% | 13% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 2/4 | 5/17 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 69% | |
| Matches in the sample | 18 | 58 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Han Shi
- 12/10/26WAlexandra Eala#19WTA Wuhan · R644:6 6:3 6:3
- 11/10/26WKamilla Rakhimova#69WTA Wuhan · Q27:6 6:1
- 10/10/26WPeyton Stearns#37WTA Wuhan · Q12:6 7:5 6:4
- 06/10/26LRenata Zarazua#85WTA 125 Suzhou · R323:6 3:6
- 05/10/26WYidi Yang#375WTA 125 Suzhou · Q26:4 7:6
- 04/10/26WChengyiyi Yuan#429WTA 125 Suzhou · Q13:6 6:4 6:4
- 01/10/26LQinwen Zheng#23WTA Beijing · R1286:7 6:4 2:6
- 29/09/26WElvina Kalieva#112WTA Beijing · Q26:7 7:5 6:3
- 28/09/26WTereza MihalikovaWTA Beijing · Q16:0 6:2
- 25/09/26LBerfu Cengiz#231WTA 125 Ankara · QF3:6 4:6
Leylah Fernandez
- 12/10/26WEkaterina Alexandrova#24WTA Wuhan · R646:4 3:6 6:3
- 03/10/26LKamilla Rakhimova#69WTA Beijing · R642:6 6:4 3:6
- 27/09/26WTalia Gibson#41WTA Singapore · F7:5 6:0
- 26/09/26WMaja Chwalińska#22WTA Singapore · SF1:6 6:4 6:2
- 25/09/26WMirra Andreeva#3WTA Singapore · QF6:2 7:5
- 23/09/26WAlycia Parks#64WTA Singapore · R166:4 6:3
- 21/09/26WKyoka Okamura#244WTA Singapore · R326:2 6:3
- 04/09/26LJessica Pegula#4WTA US Open · R326:1 4:6 3:6
- 02/09/26WMananchaya Sawangkaew#83WTA US Open · R646:4 6:1
- 30/08/26WShuai Zhang#81WTA US Open · R1286:3 6:2
Elo over the last year
Han ShiLeylah Fernandez
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| H. Shi | L. Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 11–665% | 23–1561% |
| Clay | 0–10% | 8–753% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 1–420% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Han Shi
- 10/10/26WPeyton Stearns#37WTA Wuhan · Q12:6 7:5 6:4
- 11/10/26WKamilla Rakhimova#69WTA Wuhan · Q27:6 6:1
- 12/10/26WAlexandra Eala#19WTA Wuhan · R644:6 6:3 6:3
Leylah Fernandez
- 12/10/26WEkaterina Alexandrova#24WTA Wuhan · R646:4 3:6 6:3