WTA NingboWTA 500Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Shi vs Korneeva 2:0: result and our tips

·

Han ShiWTA #177Elo 1682hard 1698
2:0final7:6(4) 6:0
Alina KorneevaWTA #80Elo 1903hard 1876

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: KorneevaLost70%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Shi lost the first set in 12 of the last 19 matches, Korneeva won the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%); Korneeva: 4 matches in a row winning the first set

Other tips

  • Match Winner: KorneevaLost76%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 76%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Korneeva won 8 of the last 10 matches; Korneeva: 4 wins in a row

  • Total Games: Over 17.5Won73%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Shi: 9 matches in a row over 17.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Won44%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Shi 10 of 19, Korneeva 12 of 20 (tour average 45%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Han Shi25%
Alina Korneeva75%

Elo: H. Shi 26% · A. Korneeva 74%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 H. Shi14%
2:1 H. Shi13%
2:1 A. Korneeva21%
2:0 A. Korneeva52%

First set

Han Shi31%
Alina Korneeva69%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 50%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.574%26%72%
18.565%35%64%
19.557%43%56%
20.550%50%49%
21.545%55%44%
22.538%62%38%
23.534%66%34%

Sample: 1,702 matches

Games handicap

Alina Korneeva −4.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 20.5in · 19 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Han ShiAlina Korneeva
2Aces0
4Double faults3
57%First serves in58%
69%First-serve points won49%
42%Second-serve points won37%
6/10Break points converted3/6
6/9Service games held3/9
57%Service points won44%
56%Return points won43%
72Total points won55

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

H. ShiTourA. Korneeva
Service points won57%56%56%
Return points won45%44%48%
Service games held65%63%64%
Breaks of serve40%37%47%
Aces per service game0.310.25
Double faults per game0.330.40
Sets with a tie-break9%10%
Tie-breaks won2/45/12
Wins in straight sets50%67%
Matches in the sample2051

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Han Shi

Alina Korneeva

Elo over the last year

Han ShiAlina Korneeva

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

H. ShiA. Korneeva
Hard court12–763%23–1168%
Clay0–10%7–558%
Grass0–03–260%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Han Shi

Alina Korneeva

See also