WTA WuhanWTA 1000Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Sorribes Tormo vs Kasatkina 1:2: result and our tips

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Sara Sorribes TormoWTA #175Elo 1703hard 1686
1:2final6:2 2:6 1:6
Daria KasatkinaWTA #82Elo 1815hard 1782

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Sorribes Tormo 12 of 20, Kasatkina 14 of 20 (tour average 55%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Lost36%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Sorribes Tormo 8 of 20, Kasatkina 12 of 20 (tour average 32%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Sara Sorribes Tormo37%
Daria Kasatkina63%

Elo: S. Sorribes Tormo 37% · D. Kasatkina 64%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Sorribes Tormo23%
2:1 S. Sorribes Tormo16%
2:1 D. Kasatkina22%
2:0 D. Kasatkina39%

First set

Sara Sorribes Tormo42%
Daria Kasatkina58%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 49%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.538%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,323 matches

Games handicap

Daria Kasatkina −2.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 21.0in · 23 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Sara Sorribes TormoDaria Kasatkina
0Aces1
7Double faults6
69%First serves in79%
49%First-serve points won60%
27%Second-serve points won14%
6/11Break points converted9/14
3/12Service games held5/11
42%Service points won51%
49%Return points won58%
69Total points won83

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. Sorribes TormoTourD. Kasatkina
Service points won53%56%53%
Return points won48%44%48%
Service games held59%63%57%
Breaks of serve45%37%45%
Aces per service game0.060.17
Double faults per game0.240.55
Sets with a tie-break8%15%
Tie-breaks won3/86/15
Wins in straight sets62%52%
Matches in the sample3941

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Sara Sorribes Tormo

Daria Kasatkina

Elo over the last year

Sara Sorribes TormoDaria Kasatkina

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. Sorribes TormoD. Kasatkina
Hard court6–650%8–1142%
Clay14–1156%11–569%
Grass1–150%2–433%

Head to head

S. Sorribes Tormo 1–1 D. Kasatkina

  • 02/05/26Winner: Daria Kasatkina2:6 0:6
  • 03/05/22Winner: Sara Sorribes Tormo6:4 1:6 6:3

Road through the tournament

Sara Sorribes Tormo

Daria Kasatkina

See also