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Challenger HelsinkiChallenger 175Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Sperle vs Echargui: prediction and tips

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John SperleATP #660Elo 1491hard 1451
-:-
Moez EcharguiATP #360Elo 1628hard 1617

Our tips

Tip in 8h 9m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

John Sperle16%
Moez Echargui84%

Elo: J. Sperle 28% · M. Echargui 72%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Sperle9%
2:1 J. Sperle8%
2:1 M. Echargui20%
2:0 M. Echargui63%

First set

John Sperle23%
Moez Echargui77%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes28%
no72%

Total games

Expected total: 21.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.582%18%88%
17.573%28%79%
18.563%37%71%
19.554%46%63%
20.546%54%54%
21.540%60%49%
22.534%66%42%

Sample: 2,490 matches

Games handicap

M. Echargui −4.556%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. SperleTourM. Echargui
Service points won60%62%61%
Return points won40%38%36%
Service games held72%76%73%
Breaks of serve26%24%21%
Aces per service game0.210.39
Double faults per game0.140.22
Sets with a tie-break21%18%
Tie-breaks won7/915/24
Wins in straight sets44%67%
Matches in the sample1856

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

John Sperle

  • 11/10/26LAlex Marti Pujolras#449Challenger Catania · Q12:6 1:6
  • 29/09/26LLorenzo Giustino#289Challenger Bari · R325:7 7:6 4:6
  • 28/09/26WFranco Agamenone#367Challenger Bari · Q26:2 1:6 7:6
  • 27/09/26WGiuseppe La Vela#532Challenger Bari · Q16:1 7:6
  • 22/09/26LJay Clarke#243Challenger Genoa 2 · R325:7 3:6
  • 21/09/26WJavier Barranco Cosano#616Challenger Genoa 2 · Q27:6 1:2
  • 20/09/26WSergi Fita JuanChallenger Genoa 2 · Q16:3 6:1
  • 05/07/26LAndrey Chepelev#370Challenger Braunschweig · Q12:6 4:6
  • 28/06/26LAmit Vales#471Challenger Troyes · Q16:1 5:7 3:6
  • 22/06/26LRadu Mihai Papoe#278Challenger Targu Mures · Q23:6 2:6

Moez Echargui

Elo over the last year

John SperleMoez Echargui

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. SperleM. Echargui
Hard court1–150%16–2341%
Clay8–850%3–1023%
Grass0–02–250%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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