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WTA 125 QuerétaroRound of 32claybest of three sets

Strakhova vs Costoulas 2:0: result and our tips

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Valeriya StrakhovaWTA #487Elo 1367clay 1400
2:0final6:4 6:3
Sofia CostoulasWTA #177Elo 1566clay 1586

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 17.5Won69%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Costoulas: 7 matches in a row over 17.5 games

Other tips

  • Set Betting: Costoulas 2-0Lost57%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Strakhova lost 0-2 in 7 of the last 12 matches, Costoulas won 2-0 in 7 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

  • Match Winner: CostoulasLost77%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 77%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Strakhova lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Valeriya Strakhova25%
Sofia Costoulas75%

Elo: V. Strakhova 26% · S. Costoulas 75%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 V. Strakhova12%
2:1 V. Strakhova12%
2:1 S. Costoulas22%
2:0 S. Costoulas54%

First set

Valeriya Strakhova31%
Sofia Costoulas69%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.0 · 49%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.579%21%77%
17.570%30%68%
18.561%40%59%
19.552%49%52%
20.545%55%45%
21.542%58%41%
22.538%62%37%

Sample: 1,140 matches

Games handicap

S. Costoulas −4.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes18%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 20.0in · 19 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Valeriya StrakhovaSofia Costoulas
2Aces0
2Double faults0
81%First serves in93%
54%First-serve points won51%
64%Second-serve points won25%
5/12Break points converted3/9
7/10Service games held4/9
56%Service points won49%
51%Return points won44%
70Total points won60

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

V. StrakhovaTourS. Costoulas
Service points won52%56%59%
Return points won43%44%43%
Service games held55%63%70%
Breaks of serve34%37%35%
Aces per service game0.120.31
Double faults per game0.290.28
Sets with a tie-break0%8%
Tie-breaks won0/03/7
Wins in straight sets67%68%
Matches in the sample1338

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Valeriya Strakhova

Sofia Costoulas

  • 05/10/26LDarya Astakhova#176WTA 125 Suzhou · R323:6
  • 01/10/26LSofya Lansere#265WTA 125 Jingshan · R163:6 4:6
  • 29/09/26WKristina Mladenovic#793WTA 125 Jingshan · R326:2 7:5
  • 22/09/26LTatiana Prozorova#123WTA Singapore · R327:5 6:7 2:6
  • 26/08/26LElvina Kalieva#111WTA US Open · Q26:3 3:6 4:6
  • 25/08/26WJennifer Ruggeri#266WTA US Open · Q17:5 6:4
  • 04/08/26LGabriela Knutson#164WTA 125 Warsaw · R322:6 4:6
  • 29/07/26LMaddison Inglis#130WTA 125 Vancouver · R163:6 3:6
  • 29/07/26WLizette Cabrera#288WTA 125 Vancouver · R326:2 6:2
  • 20/07/26LAyla Aksu#159WTA Prague · R326:2 3:6 4:6

Elo over the last year

Valeriya StrakhovaSofia Costoulas

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

V. StrakhovaS. Costoulas
Hard court0–20%13–1252%
Clay3–827%6–650%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Valeriya Strakhova

Sofia Costoulas

First match in this tournament.