Challenger Wuning 3Challenger 50Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Sun vs Samrej 2:0: result and our tips

·

Fajing SunATP #303Elo 1626hard 1623
2:0final6:4 7:5
Kasidit SamrejATP #397Elo 1682hard 1671

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Fajing Sun65%
Kasidit Samrej35%

Elo: F. Sun 43% · K. Samrej 57%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Sun43%
2:1 F. Sun22%
2:1 K. Samrej15%
2:0 K. Samrej20%

First set

Fajing Sun61%
Kasidit Samrej39%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 48%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.568%32%62%
20.559%41%54%
21.554%46%49%
22.548%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.539%61%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,366 matches

Games handicap

Fajing Sun −3.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes36%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 22.0out · 22 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Fajing SunKasidit Samrej
6Aces6
2Double faults4
57%First serves in66%
86%First-serve points won84%
63%Second-serve points won35%
2/3Break points converted0/2
11/11Service games held9/11
76%Service points won67%
33%Return points won24%
67Total points won54

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. SunTourK. Samrej
Service points won63%62%63%
Return points won38%38%39%
Service games held78%76%79%
Breaks of serve25%24%24%
Aces per service game0.320.51
Double faults per game0.140.36
Sets with a tie-break16%20%
Tie-breaks won8/229/16
Wins in straight sets60%60%
Matches in the sample5835

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Fajing Sun

  • 06/10/26WAoran Wang#989Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:3 1:0
  • 29/09/26LBernard Tomic#185Challenger Jingshan · R324:6 7:6 3:6
  • 24/09/26LRoman Safiullin#79ATP Hangzhou · R322:6 0:6
  • 23/09/26WBernard Tomic#185ATP Hangzhou · Q26:4 7:5
  • 22/09/26WMatthew Dellavedova#283ATP Hangzhou · Q13:6 6:1 7:6
  • 17/09/26LAlexander Binda#474Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R166:4 6:7 4:6
  • 15/09/26WAlexis Galarneau#184Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R327:5 3:6 7:5
  • 08/09/26LJie Cui#420Challenger Shanghai · R325:7 4:6
  • 04/09/26LChun Hsin Tseng#225Challenger Zhangjiagang · QF3:6 3:6
  • 02/09/26WHanyi Liu#831Challenger Zhangjiagang · R166:0 7:5

Kasidit Samrej

  • 06/10/26WEnzo Aguiard#439Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:1 6:3
  • 09/09/26LYuta Shimizu#393Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R164:6 4:6
  • 08/09/26WSidharth Rawat#664Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R326:2 6:7 6:2
  • 06/09/26LIlia Simakin#154Challenger Zhangjiagang · F3:6 1:6
  • 05/09/26WChun Hsin Tseng#225Challenger Zhangjiagang · SF6:3 7:6
  • 04/09/26WEnzo Aguiard#439Challenger Zhangjiagang · QF6:4 7:6
  • 03/09/26WBernard Tomic#185Challenger Zhangjiagang · R167:5 7:6
  • 01/09/26WHiroki Moriya#505Challenger Zhangjiagang · R326:1 7:6
  • 13/08/26LSergey Fomin#294Challenger Astana · R161:6 4:6
  • 11/08/26WKokoro Isomura#657Challenger Astana · R325:7 6:0 6:4

Elo over the last year

Fajing SunKasidit Samrej

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. SunK. Samrej
Hard court27–2453%20–1557%
Clay3–350%0–0
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

F. Sun 0–1 K. Samrej

  • 20/04/25Winner: Kasidit Samrej7:6 4:6 5:7

Road through the tournament

Fajing Sun

Kasidit Samrej