Challenger LisbonChallenger 125Qualifying round 2claybest of three setsqualifying

Taberner vs Krutykh 2:1: result and our tips

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Carlos TabernerATP #447Elo 1720clay 1733
2:1final6:3 4:6 7:6(5)
Oleksii KrutykhATP #439Elo 1644clay 1643

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Carlos Taberner65%
Oleksii Krutykh35%

Elo: C. Taberner 63% · O. Krutykh 37%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Taberner43%
2:1 C. Taberner23%
2:1 O. Krutykh15%
2:0 O. Krutykh19%

First set

Carlos Taberner62%
Oleksii Krutykh38%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 48%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%68%
19.561%39%59%
20.555%45%52%
21.549%51%47%
22.543%57%40%
23.539%61%36%
24.536%64%34%

Sample: 4,536 matches

Games handicap

Carlos Taberner −3.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes26%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 32 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Carlos TabernerOleksii Krutykh
4Aces2
4Double faults2
57%First serves in64%
66%First-serve points won72%
64%Second-serve points won41%
3/9Break points converted3/5
13/16Service games held12/15
65%Service points won61%
39%Return points won35%
110Total points won101

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. TabernerTourO. Krutykh
Service points won60%62%64%
Return points won41%38%42%
Service games held72%76%79%
Breaks of serve31%24%31%
Aces per service game0.200.27
Double faults per game0.340.24
Sets with a tie-break10%12%
Tie-breaks won1/75/9
Wins in straight sets57%73%
Matches in the sample2933

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Carlos Taberner

Oleksii Krutykh

  • 18/10/26WPedro LiborioChallenger Lisbon · Q16:0 6:1
  • 12/10/26LMilos Karol#569Challenger Maia · Q21:6 7:5 6:7
  • 11/10/26WDiogo MarquesChallenger Maia · Q16:4 6:4
  • 08/10/26LLuka Mikrut#245Challenger Braga · R167:6 4:6 4:6
  • 07/10/26WJavier Barranco Cosano#610Challenger Braga · R321:6 6:4 6:4
  • 05/10/26WFilip Pieczonka#877Challenger Braga · Q26:2 4:6 6:0
  • 04/10/26WFrancisco Rocha#893Challenger Braga · Q16:7 6:2 6:2
  • 07/09/26LMassimo Giunta#365Challenger Genoa · Q26:4 5:7 3:6
  • 06/09/26WStefan Popovic#680Challenger Genoa · Q17:5 6:4
  • 25/08/26LMatias Soto#265Challenger Augsburg · R323:6 4:6

Elo over the last year

Carlos TabernerOleksii Krutykh

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. TabernerO. Krutykh
Hard court0–30%0–0
Clay14–1254%22–1167%

Head to head

C. Taberner 0–1 O. Krutykh

  • 02/10/23Winner: Oleksii Krutykh2:6 4:6

Road through the tournament

Carlos Taberner

Oleksii Krutykh