Challenger Santa Cruz 2Challenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets

Torres vs Barrena 0:2: result and our tips

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Juan Bautista TorresATP #279Elo 1631clay 1627
0:2final6:7(4) 0:6
Alex BarrenaATP #224Elo 1705clay 1709

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 22.5Won61%

Where the number comes from: market alone 56% → with the players' profiles 61%

Barrena: 8 matches in a row under 22.5 games; Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Torres 12 of 20, Barrena 16 of 20 (tour average 60%)

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won63%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Barrena: 8 matches in a row without a deciding set; No third set in recent matches: Torres 14 of 20, Barrena 16 of 20 (tour average 66%)

  • Match Winner: BarrenaWon69%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 69%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Barrena won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Set Betting: Barrena 2-0Won46%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Torres lost 0-2 in 9 of the last 20 matches, Barrena won 2-0 in 9 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Juan Bautista Torres37%
Alex Barrena63%

Elo: J. Torres 38% · A. Barrena 62%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Torres21%
2:1 J. Torres16%
2:1 A. Barrena23%
2:0 A. Barrena41%

First set

Juan Bautista Torres40%
Alex Barrena60%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 56%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.573%28%76%
18.564%36%68%
19.557%43%59%
20.551%49%52%
21.544%56%47%
22.540%60%40%
23.538%62%36%

Sample: 4,691 matches

Games handicap

Alex Barrena −3.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes19%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 19 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Juan Bautista TorresAlex Barrena
1Aces4
2Double faults4
49%First serves in46%
46%First-serve points won70%
49%Second-serve points won51%
2/14Break points converted5/8
4/9Service games held7/9
47%Service points won60%
40%Return points won53%
61Total points won79

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. TorresTourA. Barrena
Service points won58%62%58%
Return points won44%38%40%
Service games held68%76%69%
Breaks of serve36%24%29%
Aces per service game0.110.20
Double faults per game0.170.23
Sets with a tie-break13%12%
Tie-breaks won9/197/19
Wins in straight sets63%59%
Matches in the sample6466

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Juan Bautista Torres

Alex Barrena

Elo over the last year

Juan Bautista TorresAlex Barrena

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. TorresA. Barrena
Hard court0–00–20%
Clay35–2955%32–3151%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

J. Torres 1–3 A. Barrena

  • 02/02/26Winner: Juan Bautista Torres6:3 6:1
  • 23/09/25Winner: Alex Barrena1:6 7:5 4:6
  • 25/06/25Winner: Alex Barrena7:5 3:6 4:6
  • 18/06/25Winner: Alex Barrena1:6 1:6

See also