Challenger OlbiaChallenger 175Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Travaglia vs Durasovic 2:1: result and our tips

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Stefano TravagliaATP #173Elo 1691hard 1702
2:1final3:6 7:5 6:3
DurasovicATP #465Elo 1543hard 1560

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Won57%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Travaglia: 6 matches in a row over 20.5 games; Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Travaglia 13 of 20, Durasovic 13 of 20 (tour average 54%)

Long shot
Tie-break in Match: YesLost33%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

A tie-break in recent matches: Travaglia 10 of 20, Durasovic 7 of 20 (tour average 32%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Stefano Travaglia69%
Durasovic31%

Elo: S. Travaglia 69% · Durasovic 31%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Travaglia47%
2:1 S. Travaglia22%
2:1 Durasovic14%
2:0 Durasovic18%

First set

Stefano Travaglia64%
Durasovic36%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 48%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.573%27%71%
19.565%35%62%
20.557%43%54%
21.552%48%49%
22.545%55%42%
23.539%61%37%
24.537%63%35%

Sample: 4,803 matches

Games handicap

Stefano Travaglia −3.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes33%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 30 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Stefano TravagliaDurasovic
11Aces10
1Double faults7
61%First serves in57%
70%First-serve points won72%
59%Second-serve points won53%
3/5Break points converted2/4
13/15Service games held12/15
66%Service points won64%
36%Return points won35%
89Total points won86

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. TravagliaTourDurasovic
Service points won63%62%61%
Return points won40%38%38%
Service games held77%76%75%
Breaks of serve29%24%24%
Aces per service game0.510.52
Double faults per game0.200.24
Sets with a tie-break21%17%
Tie-breaks won9/326/16
Wins in straight sets68%44%
Matches in the sample6438

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Stefano Travaglia

Durasovic

  • 12/10/26WChristian Langmo#534Challenger Olbia · Q26:4 3:6 7:5
  • 11/10/26WMario Gonzalez Fernandez#648Challenger Olbia · Q17:6 7:5
  • 29/09/26LUgo Blanchet#305Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R323:6 4:6
  • 28/09/26WManas Dhamne#402Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q24:6 6:2 6:2
  • 27/09/26WMatisse Bobichon#571Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q16:4 6:4
  • 31/08/26LSergio Callejon Hernando#522Challenger Manacor · Q13:6 4:6
  • 25/08/26LOliver Bonding#714Challenger Roehampton 2 · R323:6 4:6
  • 19/08/26LLucas Poullain#322Challenger Roehampton · R164:6 2:6
  • 17/08/26WManas Dhamne#402Challenger Roehampton · R326:4 4:6 6:3
  • 05/08/26LAndrea Guerrieri#165Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · R164:6 6:4 2:6

Elo over the last year

Stefano TravagliaDurasovic

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. TravagliaDurasovic
Hard court18–1162%14–1548%
Clay15–1845%2–722%
Grass1–150%0–0

Head to head

S. Travaglia 1–0 Durasovic

  • 21/05/23Winner: Stefano Travaglia6:4 6:2

Road through the tournament

Stefano Travaglia

First match in this tournament.

Durasovic

See also