Trungelliti vs Monteiro 2:1: result and our tips
·
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Trungelliti: 14 matches in a row over 20.5 games; Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Trungelliti 18 of 20, Monteiro 12 of 20 (tour average 52%)
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Monteiro: 4 matches in a row over 26.5 games; Over 26.5 games in recent matches: Trungelliti 8 of 20, Monteiro 8 of 20 (tour average 26%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: M. Trungelliti 56% · T. Monteiro 44%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 75% | 25% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 66% | 34% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 59% | 41% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 53% | 47% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 46% | 54% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 42% | 58% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 34% |
Sample: 4,779 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Under 22.5out · 27 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Marco Trungelliti | Thiago Monteiro | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Aces | 4 |
| 5 | Double faults | 1 |
| 66% | First serves in | 64% |
| 83% | First-serve points won | 60% |
| 45% | Second-serve points won | 57% |
| 3/10 | Break points converted | 1/3 |
| 13/14 | Service games held | 10/13 |
| 70% | Service points won | 59% |
| 41% | Return points won | 30% |
| 100 | Total points won | 84 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Trungelliti | Tour | T. Monteiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 78% | 76% | 80% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 25% |
| Aces per service game | 0.37 | 0.36 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.31 | 0.18 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 22% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 17/37 | 11/23 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 51% | 56% | |
| Matches in the sample | 64 | 56 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Marco Trungelliti
- 07/10/26LRei Sakamoto#137ATP Shanghai · R1283:6 5:7
- 29/09/26LAlex Molcan#84ATP Beijing · Q24:6 5:7
- 28/09/26WMartin Landaluce#73ATP Beijing · Q16:1 6:7 7:6
- 19/09/26LThiago Monteiro#235Challenger Szczecin · SF4:6 6:3 3:6
- 18/09/26WMarco Cecchinato#163Challenger Szczecin · QF7:6 7:5
- 17/09/26WFilip Pieczonka#905Challenger Szczecin · R166:7 7:5 6:4
- 15/09/26WSean Cuenin#310Challenger Szczecin · R327:6 6:2
- 08/09/26LTiago Pereira#339Challenger Seville · R324:6 6:4 4:6
- 03/09/26LAlexander Blockx#28ATP US Open · R643:6 2:6 6:3 1:6
- 31/08/26WJuncheng Shang#214ATP US Open · R1280:6 7:6 1:6 6:3 6:4
Thiago Monteiro
- 05/10/26LElmer Moller#181Challenger Braga · R326:7 7:5 4:6
- 22/09/26LMika Petkovic#437Challenger Genoa 2 · R326:4 4:6 1:6
- 20/09/26LNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo#157Challenger Szczecin · F6:4 3:6 6:7
- 19/09/26WMarco Trungelliti#90Challenger Szczecin · SF6:4 3:6 6:3
- 18/09/26WDiego Dedura#190Challenger Szczecin · QF6:4 6:2
- 16/09/26WVitaliy Sachko#172Challenger Szczecin · R166:7 6:4 7:6
- 14/09/26WStefano Travaglia#173Challenger Szczecin · R326:3 7:6
- 10/09/26LJoao Lucas Reis Da Silva#230Challenger Tulln · R163:6 4:6
- 08/09/26WMax Hans Rehberg#280Challenger Tulln · R326:7 6:3 7:6
- 04/09/26LGustavo Heide#116Challenger Porto · QF4:6 3:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Trungelliti | T. Monteiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 7–1041% | 0–0 |
| Clay | 27–1663% | 34–2261% |
| Grass | 1–325% | 0–0 |
Head to head
M. Trungelliti 2–1 T. Monteiro
- 19/09/26Winner: Thiago Monteiro4:6 6:3 3:6
- 16/04/22Winner: Marco Trungelliti7:6 7:6
- 16/09/21Winner: Marco Trungelliti6:4 6:3