ATP Lyon250Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets

Vacherot vs Van Assche: prediction and tips

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Valentin VacherotATP #32Elo 2016hard 1981
-:-
Luca Van AsscheATP #48Elo 1942hard 1907

Our tips

Tip in 9h 31m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Valentin Vacherot59%
Luca Van Assche41%

Elo: V. Vacherot 60% · L. Van Assche 40%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 V. Vacherot37%
2:1 V. Vacherot21%
2:1 L. Van Assche19%
2:0 L. Van Assche23%

First set

Valentin Vacherot56%
Luca Van Assche44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 23.0 · 47%market (no margin): 49%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.567%33%60%
21.561%39%54%
22.554%46%46%
23.547%53%40%
24.543%57%38%
25.540%60%35%
26.536%64%30%

Sample: 5,895 matches

Games handicap

Valentin Vacherot −2.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes45%

tour average 39%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

V. VacherotTourL. Van Assche
Service points won67%62%62%
Return points won34%38%41%
Service games held84%76%77%
Breaks of serve18%24%30%
Aces per service game0.730.33
Double faults per game0.260.31
Sets with a tie-break20%13%
Tie-breaks won12/2210/23
Wins in straight sets52%57%
Matches in the sample4274

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Valentin Vacherot

Luca Van Assche

Elo over the last year

Valentin VacherotLuca Van Assche

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

V. VacherotL. Van Assche
Hard court17–1553%29–1664%
Clay6–460%18–1064%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Valentin Vacherot

First match in this tournament.

Luca Van Assche