ATP Lyon250Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Van Assche vs Tabur 2:0: result and our tips

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Luca Van AsscheATP #48Elo 1935hard 1898
2:0final7:6(3) 6:3
Clement TaburATP #158Elo 1756hard 1763

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 21.5Won58%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Van Assche 13 of 20, Tabur 15 of 20 (tour average 54%)

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won61%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Van Assche: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Lost42%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Van Assche 11 of 20, Tabur 12 of 20 (tour average 38%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Luca Van Assche61%
Clement Tabur39%

Elo: L. Van Assche 69% · C. Tabur 32%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Van Assche38%
2:1 L. Van Assche22%
2:1 C. Tabur18%
2:0 C. Tabur23%

First set

Luca Van Assche57%
Clement Tabur43%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.571%29%68%
20.563%37%60%
21.558%42%54%
22.550%51%46%
23.543%57%40%
24.542%58%38%
25.538%62%35%

Sample: 5,844 matches

Games handicap

Luca Van Assche −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes40%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 22 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Luca Van AsscheClement Tabur
10Aces4
2Double faults0
47%First serves in69%
83%First-serve points won65%
48%Second-serve points won46%
2/7Break points converted1/3
10/11Service games held8/10
65%Service points won59%
41%Return points won36%
78Total points won68

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. Van AsscheTourC. Tabur
Service points won62%62%65%
Return points won41%38%39%
Service games held76%76%81%
Breaks of serve30%24%25%
Aces per service game0.320.38
Double faults per game0.320.20
Sets with a tie-break12%21%
Tie-breaks won9/2219/39
Wins in straight sets56%50%
Matches in the sample7372

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Luca Van Assche

Clement Tabur

Elo over the last year

Luca Van AsscheClement Tabur

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. Van AsscheC. Tabur
Hard court28–1664%22–1658%
Clay18–1064%17–1259%
Grass0–10%3–260%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Luca Van Assche

First match in this tournament.

Clement Tabur