ATP Lyon250Qualifying round 2hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Tabur vs Budkov Kjaer 2:0: result and our tips

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Clement TaburATP #158Elo 1739hard 1742
2:0final6:4 6:1
Nicolai Budkov KjaerATP #187Elo 1777hard 1780

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 21.5Lost61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Tabur 16 of 20, Budkov Kjaer 11 of 20 (tour average 54%); Tabur: 4 matches in a row over 21.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Lost44%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Tabur 13 of 20, Budkov Kjaer 8 of 20 (tour average 38%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Clement Tabur45%
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer55%

Elo: C. Tabur 45% · N. Budkov Kjaer 55%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Tabur25%
2:1 C. Tabur20%
2:1 N. Budkov Kjaer21%
2:0 N. Budkov Kjaer34%

First set

Clement Tabur46%
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer54%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 47%market (no margin): 52%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.575%25%68%
20.567%33%60%
21.561%39%54%
22.553%47%46%
23.546%54%39%
24.544%56%38%
25.540%60%35%

Sample: 5,574 matches

Games handicap

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer −1.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes44%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 23.0in · 17 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Clement TaburNicolai Budkov Kjaer
8Aces1
1Double faults1
69%First serves in59%
76%First-serve points won66%
53%Second-serve points won40%
4/7Break points converted1/4
8/9Service games held4/8
69%Service points won55%
45%Return points won32%
59Total points won44

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. TaburTourN. Budkov Kjaer
Service points won65%62%62%
Return points won39%38%38%
Service games held81%76%76%
Breaks of serve25%24%24%
Aces per service game0.370.39
Double faults per game0.200.22
Sets with a tie-break21%15%
Tie-breaks won19/3911/25
Wins in straight sets50%50%
Matches in the sample7267

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Clement Tabur

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Elo over the last year

Clement TaburNicolai Budkov Kjaer

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. TaburN. Budkov Kjaer
Hard court22–1658%23–2053%
Clay17–1259%9–950%
Grass3–260%2–433%

Head to head

C. Tabur 1–0 N. Budkov Kjaer

  • 01/11/25Winner: Clement Tabur7:5 7:5

Road through the tournament

Clement Tabur

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer