Challenger RoanneChallenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Bernet vs Tabur 1:2: result and our tips

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Henry BernetATP #371Elo 1741hard 1706
1:2final6:7(5) 6:3 3:6
Clement TaburATP #160Elo 1715hard 1718

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Won63%

Where the number comes from: market alone 59% → with the players' profiles 63%

Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Bernet 11 of 20, Tabur 15 of 20 (tour average 54%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 25.5Won38%

Where the number comes from: market alone 36% → with the players' profiles 38%

Over 25.5 games in recent matches: Bernet 9 of 20, Tabur 11 of 20 (tour average 32%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Henry Bernet54%
Clement Tabur46%

Elo: H. Bernet 48% · C. Tabur 52%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 H. Bernet35%
2:1 H. Bernet20%
2:1 C. Tabur18%
2:0 C. Tabur27%

First set

Henry Bernet54%
Clement Tabur46%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 50%market (no margin): 49%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.571%29%62%
20.563%37%54%
21.557%43%49%
22.550%50%42%
23.544%56%37%
24.541%59%35%
25.538%62%32%

Sample: 5,416 matches

Games handicap

Henry Bernet −1.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes41%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 23.0out · 31 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Henry BernetClement Tabur
6Aces7
6Double faults3
48%First serves in63%
82%First-serve points won69%
60%Second-serve points won57%
2/5Break points converted2/5
13/15Service games held13/15
70%Service points won64%
36%Return points won30%
100Total points won92

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

H. BernetTourC. Tabur
Service points won64%62%65%
Return points won36%38%39%
Service games held80%76%81%
Breaks of serve19%24%25%
Aces per service game0.490.36
Double faults per game0.250.20
Sets with a tie-break15%20%
Tie-breaks won5/1218/37
Wins in straight sets67%54%
Matches in the sample3471

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Henry Bernet

Clement Tabur

Elo over the last year

Henry BernetClement Tabur

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

H. BernetC. Tabur
Hard court6–940%21–1657%
Clay9–1047%17–1259%
Grass0–03–260%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Henry Bernet

Clement Tabur

First match in this tournament.

See also