Challenger RoanneChallenger 125Qualifying round 2hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Bernet vs Boogaard 2:0: result and our tips

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Henry BernetATP #371Elo 1725hard 1687
2:0final6:4 7:5
Thijs BoogaardATP #487Elo 1582hard 1538

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Henry Bernet84%
Thijs Boogaard16%

Elo: H. Bernet 70% · T. Boogaard 30%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 H. Bernet63%
2:1 H. Bernet20%
2:1 T. Boogaard8%
2:0 T. Boogaard9%

First set

Henry Bernet77%
Thijs Boogaard23%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes28%
no72%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 58%market (no margin): 46%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%79%
18.567%33%71%
19.558%42%62%
20.549%51%54%
21.542%58%49%
22.536%64%42%
23.531%69%37%

Sample: 2,325 matches

Games handicap

Henry Bernet −4.556%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes29%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 22 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Henry BernetThijs Boogaard
9Aces1
2Double faults9
56%First serves in49%
80%First-serve points won69%
67%Second-serve points won55%
2/4Break points converted0/2
11/11Service games held9/11
74%Service points won62%
39%Return points won26%
71Total points won56

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

H. BernetTourT. Boogaard
Service points won63%62%61%
Return points won36%38%38%
Service games held80%76%74%
Breaks of serve19%24%23%
Aces per service game0.480.40
Double faults per game0.250.29
Sets with a tie-break15%14%
Tie-breaks won5/123/5
Wins in straight sets64%29%
Matches in the sample3314

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Henry Bernet

Thijs Boogaard

Elo over the last year

Henry BernetThijs Boogaard

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

H. BernetT. Boogaard
Hard court5–936%4–544%
Clay9–1047%2–167%
Grass0–01–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Henry Bernet

Thijs Boogaard