ATP Lyon250Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Royer vs Tabur 1:2: result and our tips

·

Valentin RoyerATP #110Elo 1833hard 1790
1:2final6:7(2) 7:6(3) 2:6
Clement TaburATP #158Elo 1719hard 1720

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 21.5Won60%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Royer 10 of 20, Tabur 15 of 20 (tour average 54%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: RoyerLost61%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 61%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Tabur lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 25.5Won39%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 25.5 games in recent matches: Royer 6 of 20, Tabur 12 of 20 (tour average 34%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Valentin Royer59%
Clement Tabur41%

Elo: V. Royer 60% · C. Tabur 40%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 V. Royer37%
2:1 V. Royer21%
2:1 C. Tabur19%
2:0 C. Tabur23%

First set

Valentin Royer56%
Clement Tabur44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.574%26%68%
20.566%34%60%
21.561%40%54%
22.553%47%46%
23.546%54%39%
24.543%57%38%
25.540%60%35%

Sample: 5,848 matches

Games handicap

Valentin Royer −2.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes44%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 22.5in · 34 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Valentin RoyerClement Tabur
12Aces13
3Double faults3
71%First serves in61%
73%First-serve points won69%
38%Second-serve points won54%
1/6Break points converted3/6
13/16Service games held15/16
63%Service points won63%
37%Return points won37%
119Total points won125

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

V. RoyerTourC. Tabur
Service points won61%62%65%
Return points won36%38%39%
Service games held76%76%81%
Breaks of serve21%24%24%
Aces per service game0.420.37
Double faults per game0.200.20
Sets with a tie-break15%21%
Tie-breaks won11/2319/38
Wins in straight sets65%52%
Matches in the sample6172

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Valentin Royer

Clement Tabur

Elo over the last year

Valentin RoyerClement Tabur

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

V. RoyerC. Tabur
Hard court12–2235%22–1658%
Clay13–1154%17–1259%
Grass1–233%3–260%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

See also