Challenger OlbiaChallenger 175Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Erhard vs Royer 0:2: result and our tips

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Mathys ErhardATP #373Elo 1643hard 1627
0:2final6:7(2) 0:6
Valentin RoyerATP #105Elo 1846hard 1801

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Mathys Erhard24%
Valentin Royer76%

Elo: M. Erhard 27% · V. Royer 73%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Erhard13%
2:1 M. Erhard10%
2:1 V. Royer22%
2:0 V. Royer55%

First set

Mathys Erhard30%
Valentin Royer71%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no68%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 51%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.573%27%71%
19.564%36%62%
20.556%44%54%
21.549%51%49%
22.542%58%42%
23.536%64%37%
24.533%67%35%

Sample: 3,525 matches

Games handicap

Valentin Royer −4.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes34%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 19 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Mathys ErhardValentin Royer
2Aces6
3Double faults3
85%First serves in64%
66%First-serve points won78%
30%Second-serve points won64%
0/2Break points converted3/6
6/9Service games held9/9
60%Service points won73%
27%Return points won40%
53Total points won70

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. ErhardTourV. Royer
Service points won64%62%62%
Return points won38%38%36%
Service games held81%76%77%
Breaks of serve24%24%21%
Aces per service game0.420.44
Double faults per game0.220.19
Sets with a tie-break21%17%
Tie-breaks won13/3011/26
Wins in straight sets61%67%
Matches in the sample6063

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Mathys Erhard

  • 12/10/26WLeo Raquillet#710Challenger Olbia · Q26:0 6:3
  • 11/10/26WLorenzo RoccoChallenger Olbia · Q16:4 7:6
  • 04/10/26LOliver Tarvet#307Challenger Villena · Q14:6 3:6
  • 28/09/26LAlberto Barroso Campos#681Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q27:5 4:6 2:6
  • 27/09/26WPaul TheateChallenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q16:4 6:2
  • 20/09/26LPatrick Zahraj#511Challenger Saint Tropez · Q16:4 5:7 6:7
  • 09/09/26LDaniil Glinka#178Challenger Cassis · R166:7 2:4
  • 08/09/26WBenjamin Pietri#770Challenger Cassis · R326:3 6:4
  • 02/09/26LInaki Montes-de la Torre#175Challenger Manacor · R322:6 6:3 4:6
  • 01/09/26WCharles Broom#268Challenger Manacor · Q26:2 6:7 6:1

Valentin Royer

Elo over the last year

Mathys ErhardValentin Royer

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. ErhardV. Royer
Hard court19–1654%13–2336%
Clay14–1156%13–1154%
Grass0–01–233%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Mathys Erhard

Valentin Royer

First match in this tournament.