Challenger OlbiaChallenger 175Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Erhard vs Raquillet 2:0: result and our tips

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Mathys ErhardATP #373Elo 1636hard 1617
2:0final6:0 6:3
Leo RaquilletATP #710Elo 1397hard 1405

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: ErhardWon71%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Erhard won the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches, Raquillet lost the first set in 15 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: ErhardWon77%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 77%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Raquillet lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 22.5Lost38%

Where the number comes from: market alone 40% → with the players' profiles 38%

Over 22.5 games in recent matches: Erhard 11 of 20, Raquillet 11 of 20 (tour average 42%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Mathys Erhard77%
Leo Raquillet23%

Elo: M. Erhard 77% · L. Raquillet 23%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Erhard55%
2:1 M. Erhard22%
2:1 L. Raquillet10%
2:0 L. Raquillet13%

First set

Mathys Erhard71%
Leo Raquillet29%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no68%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 56%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%25%79%
18.567%33%71%
19.558%42%62%
20.550%50%54%
21.544%56%49%
22.538%62%42%
23.534%66%37%

Sample: 3,486 matches

Games handicap

Mathys Erhard −4.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes26%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 15 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Mathys ErhardLeo Raquillet
1Aces1
3Double faults3
49%First serves in62%
94%First-serve points won46%
58%Second-serve points won35%
5/7Break points converted0/0
7/7Service games held3/8
76%Service points won42%
58%Return points won24%
54Total points won28

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. ErhardTourL. Raquillet
Service points won64%62%55%
Return points won38%38%40%
Service games held81%76%61%
Breaks of serve23%24%29%
Aces per service game0.420.21
Double faults per game0.220.25
Sets with a tie-break22%3%
Tie-breaks won13/300/2
Wins in straight sets59%29%
Matches in the sample5924

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Mathys Erhard

  • 11/10/26WLorenzo RoccoChallenger Olbia · Q16:4 7:6
  • 04/10/26LOliver Tarvet#307Challenger Villena · Q14:6 3:6
  • 28/09/26LAlberto Barroso Campos#681Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q27:5 4:6 2:6
  • 27/09/26WPaul TheateChallenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q16:4 6:2
  • 20/09/26LPatrick Zahraj#511Challenger Saint Tropez · Q16:4 5:7 6:7
  • 09/09/26LDaniil Glinka#178Challenger Cassis · R166:7 2:4
  • 08/09/26WBenjamin Pietri#770Challenger Cassis · R326:3 6:4
  • 02/09/26LInaki Montes-de la Torre#175Challenger Manacor · R322:6 6:3 4:6
  • 01/09/26WCharles Broom#268Challenger Manacor · Q26:2 6:7 6:1
  • 31/08/26WAnton Shepp#504Challenger Manacor · Q16:1 7:5

Leo Raquillet

Elo over the last year

Mathys ErhardLeo Raquillet

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. ErhardL. Raquillet
Hard court18–1653%2–625%
Clay14–1156%5–1033%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Mathys Erhard

Leo Raquillet

See also