Challenger OlbiaChallenger 175Round of 16hardbest of three sets
Travaglia vs Royer: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 4h 20mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Stefano Travaglia26%
Valentin Royer74%
Elo: S. Travaglia 36% · V. Royer 64%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 S. Travaglia15%
2:1 S. Travaglia11%
2:1 V. Royer22%
2:0 V. Royer52%
First set
Stefano Travaglia32%
Valentin Royer68%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no67%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 72% | 28% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 64% | 36% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 56% | 44% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 37% | 63% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 35% | 65% | 35% |
Sample: 3,970 matches
Games handicap
Valentin Royer −3.556%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes33%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| S. Travaglia | Tour | V. Royer | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 77% | 76% | 77% |
| Breaks of serve | 29% | 24% | 22% |
| Aces per service game | 0.52 | 0.44 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.20 | 0.19 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 21% | 16% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 9/32 | 12/25 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 68% | |
| Matches in the sample | 64 | 63 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Stefano Travaglia
- 13/10/26WDurasovic#465Challenger Olbia · R323:6 7:5 6:3
- 22/09/26LMarvin Moeller#239Challenger Genoa 2 · R324:6 6:4 2:6
- 14/09/26LThiago Monteiro#235Challenger Szczecin · R323:6 6:7
- 10/09/26LEnrico Dalla Valle#319Challenger Genoa · R167:6 1:6 4:6
- 08/09/26WStefano Napolitano#284Challenger Genoa · R326:4 7:5
- 24/08/26LHarry Wendelken#182ATP US Open · Q14:6 6:3 3:6
- 11/08/26LNicolas Kicker#351Challenger Todi · R326:0 4:6 0:4
- 04/08/26LMatej Dodig#174Challenger Hagen · R325:7 3:6
- 28/07/26LMax Hans Rehberg#280Challenger Bonn · R323:6 1:6
- 17/07/26LAdolfo Daniel Vallejo#52ATP Bastad · QF6:7 2:6
Valentin Royer
- 13/10/26WMathys Erhard#373Challenger Olbia · R327:6 6:0
- 08/10/26LAdolfo Daniel Vallejo#52ATP Shanghai · R1283:6 1:6
- 28/09/26LBotic Van de Zandschulp#41ATP Beijing · Q16:4 2:6 4:6
- 26/09/26LDaniil Medvedev#6ATP Hangzhou · R166:7 3:6
- 23/09/26WAdam Walton#98ATP Hangzhou · R326:3 6:4
- 31/08/26LDalibor Svrcina#126ATP US Open · R1284:6 3:6 7:5 7:5 2:6
- 22/08/26WPedro Martinez#130Challenger Kingston · F6:4 6:2
- 21/08/26WClement Chidekh#146Challenger Kingston · SF2:6 7:5 6:1
- 20/08/26WGonzalo Bueno#183Challenger Kingston · QF6:1 6:1
- 19/08/26WTyler Zink#344Challenger Kingston · R166:3 7:5
Elo over the last year
Stefano TravagliaValentin Royer
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| S. Travaglia | V. Royer | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 19–1066% | 14–2239% |
| Clay | 15–1845% | 13–1154% |
| Grass | 1–150% | 1–233% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Stefano Travaglia
- 13/10/26WDurasovic#465Challenger Olbia · R323:6 7:5 6:3
Valentin Royer
- 13/10/26WMathys Erhard#373Challenger Olbia · R327:6 6:0