Challenger HelsinkiChallenger 175Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying
Vrbensky vs Ursu: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 6h 58mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Michael Vrbensky55%
Vadym Ursu45%
Elo: M. Vrbensky 62% · V. Ursu 39%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 M. Vrbensky35%
2:1 M. Vrbensky21%
2:1 V. Ursu18%
2:0 V. Ursu26%
First set
Michael Vrbensky54%
Vadym Ursu46%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
Expected total: 22.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 72% | 29% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 63% | 37% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 57% | 43% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 51% | 49% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 44% | 56% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 38% | 62% | 35% |
Sample: 5,871 matches
Games handicap
M. Vrbensky −1.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes29%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Vrbensky | Tour | V. Ursu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 62% | 58% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 72% | 76% | 69% |
| Breaks of serve | 23% | 24% | 27% |
| Aces per service game | 0.37 | 0.31 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.30 | 0.41 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 16% | 14% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 5/12 | 5/11 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 55% | |
| Matches in the sample | 31 | 33 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Michael Vrbensky
- 03/11/26LMika Brunold#179Challenger Bratislava 2 · R326:1 6:7 1:6
- 02/11/26WMax Houkes#218Challenger Bratislava 2 · Q26:4 6:4
- 01/11/26WMarek Gengel#409Challenger Bratislava 2 · Q17:5 7:5
- 14/10/26LLorenzo Giustino#289Challenger Maia · R165:7 5:7
- 13/10/26WRaul Brancaccio#222Challenger Maia · R326:3 6:1
- 12/10/26WPatrick Schoen#343Challenger Maia · Q26:3 6:4
- 11/10/26WOlle Wallin#416Challenger Maia · Q14:3
- 14/09/26LKai Wehnelt#645Challenger Szczecin · Q25:7 2:6
- 16/08/26LOleksii Krutykh#432Challenger Prague · Q16:2 2:6 4:6
- 28/07/26LNikoloz Basilashvili#86Challenger San Marino · R323:6 6:3 2:6
Vadym Ursu
- 08/11/26LBuvaysar Gadamauri#269Challenger Orleans · Q15:7 1:6
- 02/11/26LEero Vasa#485Challenger Bratislava 2 · Q24:6 4:6
- 01/11/26WRadovan MichalikChallenger Bratislava 2 · Q16:2 6:2
- 26/10/26LUgo Blanchet#334Challenger Brest · Q25:7 2:6
- 25/10/26WAdan Freire Da SilvaChallenger Brest · Q16:3 3:6 6:4
- 11/10/26LM. Cerny#688Challenger Olbia · Q17:6 3:6 1:0
- 04/10/26LDiego Dedura#185Challenger Villena · Q10:6 7:6 2:6
- 27/09/26LJoao Domingues#556Challenger Porto 2 · Q16:7 2:6
- 22/09/26LBorna Gojo#134Challenger Saint Tropez · R325:7 3:6
- 21/09/26LHugo Grenier#418Challenger Saint Tropez · Q24:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Michael VrbenskyVadym Ursu
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Vrbensky | V. Ursu | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 7–558% | 11–1937% |
| Clay | 6–1430% | 0–20% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 0–10% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
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