WTA 125 SamsunQuarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying

Waltert vs Sakatsume 1:2: result and our tips

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Simona WaltertWTA #110Elo 1702hard 1647
1:2final7:5 4:6 0:6
Himeno SakatsumeWTA #115Elo 1693hard 1692

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Simona Waltert50%
Himeno Sakatsume51%

Elo: S. Waltert 44% · H. Sakatsume 56%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Waltert30%
2:1 S. Waltert20%
2:1 H. Sakatsume20%
2:0 H. Sakatsume31%

First set

Simona Waltert49%
Himeno Sakatsume51%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 48%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.568%32%60%
19.560%40%52%
20.553%47%46%
21.549%51%41%
22.544%56%37%
23.539%61%33%
24.536%64%31%

Sample: 2,211 matches

Games handicap

Himeno Sakatsume −0.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 28 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Simona WaltertHimeno Sakatsume
1Aces0
6Double faults3
65%First serves in68%
58%First-serve points won68%
46%Second-serve points won41%
11/17Break points converted9/12
8/14Service games held11/14
54%Service points won59%
41%Return points won47%
94Total points won106

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. WaltertTourH. Sakatsume
Service points won56%56%57%
Return points won46%44%45%
Service games held64%63%67%
Breaks of serve39%37%39%
Aces per service game0.170.20
Double faults per game0.380.22
Sets with a tie-break9%6%
Tie-breaks won8/134/7
Wins in straight sets60%76%
Matches in the sample6351

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Simona Waltert

Himeno Sakatsume

Elo over the last year

Simona WaltertHimeno Sakatsume

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. WaltertH. Sakatsume
Hard court10–1343%25–1661%
Clay25–1366%2–250%
Grass0–20%2–433%

Head to head

S. Waltert 0–1 H. Sakatsume

  • 01/03/26Winner: Himeno Sakatsume4:6 4:6

Road through the tournament

Simona Waltert

Himeno Sakatsume