Walton vs Cilic 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 68% → with the players' profiles 74%
Cilic: 11 matches in a row over 19.5 games; Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Walton 12 of 20, Cilic 18 of 20 (tour average 62%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 28% → with the players' profiles 31%
Over 27.5 games in recent matches: Walton 8 of 20, Cilic 6 of 20 (tour average 24%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: A. Walton 37% · M. Cilic 63%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 74% | 26% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 66% | 34% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 58% | 42% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 53% | 48% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 46% | 54% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 41% | 59% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 39% | 61% | 32% |
Sample: 5,126 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Under 23.0out · 25 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Adam Walton | Marin Cilic | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aces | 17 |
| — | Double faults | — |
| 72% | First serves in | 62% |
| 69% | First-serve points won | 91% |
| 47% | Second-serve points won | 50% |
| 1/1 | Break points converted | 3/4 |
| 9/12 | Service games held | 12/13 |
| 63% | Service points won | 75% |
| 25% | Return points won | 37% |
| 59 | Total points won | 77 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Walton | Tour | M. Cilic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 34% |
| Service games held | 81% | 76% | 83% |
| Breaks of serve | 22% | 24% | 18% |
| Aces per service game | 0.59 | 0.76 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.15 | 0.27 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 20% | 22% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 17/38 | 8/20 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 75% | |
| Matches in the sample | 77 | 39 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Adam Walton
- 05/10/26LRigele TE#849ATP Shanghai · Q17:5 3:6 4:6
- 01/10/26LMattia Bellucci#86Challenger Jingshan · R165:7 2:6
- 30/09/26WMoise Kouame#201Challenger Jingshan · R326:1 6:4
- 29/09/26WAlexander Binda#474Challenger Jingshan · Q26:1 6:0
- 28/09/26WHikaru Shiraishi#602Challenger Jingshan · Q16:2 6:2
- 23/09/26LValentin Royer#105ATP Hangzhou · R323:6 4:6
- 30/08/26LYibing Wu#113ATP US Open · R1286:7 2:6 5:7
- 25/08/26LIgnacio Buse#36ATP Winston Salem · R322:6 7:5 3:6
- 24/08/26WJesper De Jong#95ATP Winston Salem · R646:2 6:4
- 18/08/26LJaime Faria#60ATP Cincinnati · R326:4 4:6 6:7
Marin Cilic
- 07/10/26LArthur Fery#37ATP Shanghai · R1286:7 1:6
- 14/08/26LDaniel Merida#44ATP Cincinnati · R1286:3 1:6 1:6
- 04/08/26LFrances Tiafoe#10ATP Montreal · R647:5 2:6 2:6
- 03/08/26WSho Shimabukuro#109ATP Montreal · R1287:6 6:1
- 29/06/26LDaniil Medvedev#6ATP Wimbledon · R1281:6 2:6 4:6
- 16/06/26LUgo Humbert#32ATP London · R325:7 3:6
- 12/06/26LDaniil Medvedev#6ATP S-Hertogenbosch · QF2:6 6:3 1:6
- 11/06/26WNuno Borges#51ATP S-Hertogenbosch · R163:6 7:6 6:3
- 08/06/26WDenis Shapovalov#42ATP S-Hertogenbosch · R326:7 6:4 7:5
- 26/05/26LMoise Kouame#201ATP French Open · R1286:7 2:6 1:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Walton | M. Cilic | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 29–2752% | 15–1256% |
| Clay | 6–460% | 3–443% |
| Grass | 7–464% | 2–340% |
Head to head
A. Walton 0–1 M. Cilic
- 18/10/25Winner: Marin Cilic4:6 1:6