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Challenger NingboChallenger 75Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Yang vs Derepasko 0:2: result and our tips

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Xiaoyin YangElo 1450hard 1449
0:2final4:6 2:6
Timofei DerepaskoATP #615Elo 1600hard 1602

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won74%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Derepasko: 7 matches in a row without a deciding set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Xiaoyin Yang15%
Timofei Derepasko85%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 X. Yang8%
2:1 X. Yang8%
2:1 T. Derepasko20%
2:0 T. Derepasko64%

First set

Xiaoyin Yang22%
Timofei Derepasko78%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes27%
no73%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 19.5 · 55%market (no margin): 52%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.573%27%79%
18.564%36%71%
19.555%45%62%
20.546%54%54%
21.540%60%49%
22.534%66%42%
23.529%71%37%

Sample: 2,226 matches

Games handicap

T. Derepasko −4.557%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes26%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 19.5out · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Xiaoyin YangTimofei Derepasko
2Aces3
1Double faults0
78%First serves in80%
61%First-serve points won76%
50%Second-serve points won70%
0/1Break points converted3/5
6/9Service games held9/9
58%Service points won75%
26%Return points won42%
45Total points won61

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

X. YangTourT. Derepasko
Service points won—62%60%
Return points won—38%41%
Service games held—76%72%
Breaks of serve—24%30%
Aces per service game—0.49
Double faults per game—0.34
Sets with a tie-break—9%
Tie-breaks won—2/3
Wins in straight sets—89%
Matches in the sample—16

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Xiaoyin Yang

Timofei Derepasko

  • 09/10/26LOmar Jasika#386Challenger Wuning 3 · QF3:6 2:6
  • 07/10/26WFilip Peliwo#643Challenger Wuning 3 · R166:3 7:6
  • 05/10/26WSergey Fomin#291Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:2 7:6
  • 15/09/26LIlia Simakin#146Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R324:6 3:6
  • 14/09/26WTaisei Ichikawa#751Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q27:5 6:3
  • 13/09/26WStefan StorchChallenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q16:3 6:3
  • 10/09/26LCruz Hewitt#314Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R163:6 2:6
  • 08/09/26WSam Ryan Ziegann#817Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R326:3 4:6 6:4
  • 07/09/26WTaiyo Yamanaka#831Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · Q26:3 6:4
  • 06/09/26WMinhthien NguyenChallenger Phan Thiet 3 · Q16:2 6:0

Elo over the last year

Xiaoyin YangTimofei Derepasko

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

X. YangT. Derepasko
Hard court0–10%9–756%

Head to head

They have not met yet.