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WTA 125 CourmayeurRound of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Zaar vs Aksu 0:2: result and our tips

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Lisa ZaarWTA #283Elo 1397hard 1448
0:2final4:6 3:6
Ayla AksuWTA #159Elo 1674hard 1682

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: AksuWon66%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 66%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Zaar lost 8 of the last 10 matches; Aksu: 5 wins in a row

Other tips

  • Total Games: Over 19.5Lost59%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Aksu: 4 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Lisa Zaar32%
Ayla Aksu68%

Elo: L. Zaar 21% · A. Aksu 79%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Zaar20%
2:1 L. Zaar14%
2:1 A. Aksu21%
2:0 A. Aksu45%

First set

Lisa Zaar38%
Ayla Aksu62%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 50%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%70%
18.567%33%61%
19.558%42%53%
20.550%50%46%
21.544%56%41%
22.540%61%36%
23.536%64%33%

Sample: 2,075 matches

Games handicap

A. Aksu −3.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 20.5out · 19 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Lisa ZaarAyla Aksu
—Aces—
—Double faults—
80%First serves in75%
34%First-serve points won58%
60%Second-serve points won29%
5/13Break points converted7/9
2/9Service games held5/10
39%Service points won51%
49%Return points won61%
61Total points won73

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. ZaarTourA. Aksu
Service points won52%56%55%
Return points won47%44%44%
Service games held56%63%63%
Breaks of serve42%37%36%
Aces per service game0.050.12
Double faults per game0.270.34
Sets with a tie-break14%7%
Tie-breaks won1/42/4
Wins in straight sets75%54%
Matches in the sample1224

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Lisa Zaar

  • 13/10/26LMatilde Jorge#242WTA 125 Lisbon · R321:6 5:7
  • 22/09/26LRebeka Masarova#158WTA 125 Tolentino · R327:5 1:6 5:7
  • 21/09/26WEnola Chiesa#535WTA 125 Tolentino · Q23:6 6:3 7:6
  • 20/09/26WArianna OvarelliWTA 125 Tolentino · Q16:2 6:1
  • 06/09/26LKaterina Tsygourova#417WTA 125 Montreux · Q15:7 6:3 6:7
  • 19/07/26LElena Malygina#286WTA Hamburg · Q12:6 4:6
  • 12/07/26LZhibek Kulambayeva#469WTA Iasi · Q16:7 3:6
  • 07/07/26LVarvara Lepchenko#183WTA 125 Bastad · R324:6 6:4 6:7
  • 02/06/26LTyra Caterina Grant#154WTA 125 Foggia · R326:3 3:6 3:6
  • 19/05/26LJessica Bouzas Maneiro#96WTA Rabat · R320:6 5:7

Ayla Aksu

Elo over the last year

Lisa ZaarAyla Aksu

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. ZaarA. Aksu
Hard court0–011–955%
Clay4–833%2–250%

Head to head

They have not met yet.