WTA 125 SuzhouRound of 16hardbest of three sets

Zavatska vs Khomutsianskaya 2:0: result and our tips

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Katarina ZavatskaWTA #248Elo 1534hard 1481
2:0final6:4 6:4
Darya KhomutsianskayaWTA #275Elo 1684hard 1659

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: KhomutsianskayaLost63%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 63%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Khomutsianskaya won 6 of the last 8 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Katarina Zavatska37%
Darya Khomutsianskaya63%

Elo: K. Zavatska 27% · D. Khomutsianskaya 74%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Zavatska22%
2:1 K. Zavatska16%
2:1 D. Khomutsianskaya21%
2:0 D. Khomutsianskaya41%

First set

Katarina Zavatska40%
Darya Khomutsianskaya60%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%70%
18.567%33%60%
19.559%41%52%
20.552%48%46%
21.547%53%41%
22.542%58%37%
23.538%62%33%

Sample: 2,313 matches

Games handicap

Darya Khomutsianskaya −3.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.0in · 20 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Katarina ZavatskaDarya Khomutsianskaya
0Aces4
0Double faults3
71%First serves in61%
65%First-serve points won68%
55%Second-serve points won38%
4/10Break points converted2/3
8/10Service games held6/10
62%Service points won56%
44%Return points won38%
69Total points won60

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. ZavatskaTourD. Khomutsianskaya
Service points won54%56%60%
Return points won46%44%43%
Service games held59%63%73%
Breaks of serve41%37%36%
Aces per service game0.100.27
Double faults per game0.270.27
Sets with a tie-break8%5%
Tie-breaks won2/41/1
Wins in straight sets46%50%
Matches in the sample228

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Katarina Zavatska

  • 06/10/26WYushan Shao#684WTA 125 Suzhou · R327:6 6:4
  • 05/10/26LDarya Khomutsianskaya#275WTA 125 Suzhou · Q24:6 1:6
  • 04/10/26WKristiana Sidorova#337WTA 125 Suzhou · Q16:4 6:1
  • 29/09/26LSofya Lansere#266WTA 125 Jingshan · R323:6 0:6
  • 12/09/26LLea Ma#285WTA Guadalajara · Q12:6 2:6
  • 22/05/26LLucia Bronzetti#135WTA French Open · Q36:3 6:7 0:3
  • 20/05/26WDarja Semenistaja#131WTA French Open · Q27:5 5:7 6:2
  • 19/05/26WCarol Zhao#747WTA French Open · Q16:2 6:1
  • 29/03/26LSelena Janicijevic#300WTA Bogota · Q22:6 5:7
  • 28/03/26WLaura Pigossi#243WTA Bogota · Q15:7 6:1 6:3

Darya Khomutsianskaya

  • 06/10/26WTyra Caterina Grant#151WTA 125 Suzhou · R326:2 5:7 7:5
  • 05/10/26WKatarina Zavatska#248WTA 125 Suzhou · Q26:4 6:1
  • 04/10/26WYujia Huang#416WTA 125 Suzhou · Q14:6 6:4 7:6
  • 29/09/26LAlevtina Ibragimova#169WTA 125 Jingshan · R326:3 4:6 5:7
  • 16/07/26LTatiana Prozorova#117WTA 125 Istanbul 2 · R164:6 3:6
  • 14/07/26WPriska Madelyn Nugroho#370WTA 125 Istanbul 2 · R326:4 6:1
  • 13/07/26WYing Zhang#698WTA 125 Istanbul 2 · Q21:6 6:4 7:5
  • 12/07/26WSaumya VigWTA 125 Istanbul 2 · Q16:0 6:0

Elo over the last year

Katarina ZavatskaDarya Khomutsianskaya

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. ZavatskaD. Khomutsianskaya
Hard court4–450%6–275%
Clay9–564%0–0

Head to head

K. Zavatska 0–1 D. Khomutsianskaya

  • 05/10/26Winner: Darya Khomutsianskaya4:6 1:6

Road through the tournament

Katarina Zavatska

Darya Khomutsianskaya

See also