WTA 125 SuzhouQuarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying

Zavatska vs Zarazua 0:2: result and our tips

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Katarina ZavatskaWTA #248Elo 1560hard 1512
0:2final1:6 6:7(9)
Renata ZarazuaWTA #85Elo 1688hard 1678

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won74%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Zavatska: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set

Long shot
Total Games: Under 17.5Lost38%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 17.5 games in recent matches: Zavatska 9 of 20, Zarazua 7 of 20 (tour average 30%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Katarina Zavatska19%
Renata Zarazua81%

Elo: K. Zavatska 28% · R. Zarazua 72%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Zavatska9%
2:1 K. Zavatska10%
2:1 R. Zarazua19%
2:0 R. Zarazua62%

First set

Katarina Zavatska25%
Renata Zarazua75%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes29%
no71%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 54%market (no margin): 49%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.575%25%79%
17.566%34%70%
18.554%46%60%
19.546%54%53%
20.540%60%46%
21.536%64%42%
22.532%68%37%

Sample: 1,310 matches

Games handicap

Renata Zarazua −5.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes17%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 19.5out · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Katarina ZavatskaRenata Zarazua
0Aces1
1Double faults1
74%First serves in72%
48%First-serve points won64%
29%Second-serve points won33%
3/13Break points converted5/7
4/9Service games held7/10
43%Service points won55%
45%Return points won57%
62Total points won79

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. ZavatskaTourR. Zarazua
Service points won54%56%56%
Return points won46%44%43%
Service games held60%63%63%
Breaks of serve41%37%34%
Aces per service game0.100.06
Double faults per game0.260.15
Sets with a tie-break8%7%
Tie-breaks won2/44/8
Wins in straight sets50%58%
Matches in the sample2352

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Katarina Zavatska

Renata Zarazua

Elo over the last year

Katarina ZavatskaRenata Zarazua

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. ZavatskaR. Zarazua
Hard court5–456%19–1851%
Clay9–564%2–529%
Grass0–03–538%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Katarina Zavatska

Renata Zarazua

See also