ATP ShanghaiMasters 1000Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Zverev vs Halys 2:1: result and our tips

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Alexander ZverevATP #2Elo 2265hard 2220
2:1final6:4 6:7(8) 6:3
Quentin HalysATP #48Elo 1970hard 1924

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won68%

Where the number comes from: market alone 55% → with the players' profiles 68%

Halys: 13 matches in a row over 19.5 games; Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Zverev 16 of 20, Halys 17 of 20 (tour average 67%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 21.5Won49%

Where the number comes from: market alone 40% → with the players' profiles 49%

Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Zverev 14 of 20, Halys 14 of 20 (tour average 53%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Alexander Zverev87%
Quentin Halys13%

Elo: A. Zverev 85% · Q. Halys 16%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Zverev67%
2:1 A. Zverev19%
2:1 Q. Halys7%
2:0 Q. Halys8%

First set

Alexander Zverev79%
Quentin Halys21%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes26%
no75%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 57%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.579%21%75%
19.569%31%67%
20.559%42%59%
21.550%51%53%
22.543%57%45%
23.535%65%39%
24.529%71%37%

Sample: 1,848 matches

Games handicap

Alexander Zverev −4.556%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes44%

tour average 37%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 22.5out · 32 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Alexander ZverevQuentin Halys
19Aces13
1Double faults2
80%First serves in63%
80%First-serve points won78%
55%Second-serve points won54%
2/9Break points converted0/0
16/16Service games held13/15
75%Service points won69%
31%Return points won26%
104Total points won94

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. ZverevTourQ. Halys
Service points won71%62%67%
Return points won37%38%34%
Service games held89%76%85%
Breaks of serve22%24%16%
Aces per service game0.680.85
Double faults per game0.170.25
Sets with a tie-break23%28%
Tie-breaks won36/5230/50
Wins in straight sets60%62%
Matches in the sample7971

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alexander Zverev

Quentin Halys

Elo over the last year

Alexander ZverevQuentin Halys

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. ZverevQ. Halys
Hard court33–1175%24–2153%
Clay20–483%13–765%
Grass9–282%2–433%

Head to head

A. Zverev 3–0 Q. Halys

  • 04/09/26Winner: Alexander Zverev6:4 4:6 7:6 6:7 6:3
  • 29/05/26Winner: Alexander Zverev6:4 6:3 5:7 6:2
  • 25/03/26Winner: Alexander Zverev7:6 7:6

Road through the tournament

Alexander Zverev

Quentin Halys