Pro LeagueMatchday 9
Kortrijk vs Mechelen: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 9d 7hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%O2.550%52%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.4
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Kortrijk3:1MechelenW
- Mechelen3:0KortrijkL
- Mechelen3:0KortrijkL
- Kortrijk0:3MechelenL
- Mechelen3:2KortrijkL
Kortrijk's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 10.2under 10.5: 61%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.7under 3.5: 50%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.1 : 1.6total 2.7Attack/defence1.4 : 1.4total 2.8
Kortrijk : MechelenMost likely scores
Model1-113%0-110%1-29%0-28%2-1—1-0—0-08%Attack/defence1-112%0-18%1-28%0-2—2-18%1-08%0-07%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%0-10-110%0-18%1-21-29%1-28%0-20-28%0-2—2-12-1—2-18%1-01-0—1-08%0-00-08%0-07%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 75%76% | 76% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 73%63% | 63% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72%70% | 70% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 54%63% | 63% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50%48% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50%52% | 52% |
| 2 – Mechelen win | 47%37% · Elo 46% | 37%· Elo 46% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28%30% | 30% |
| X – draw | 27%26% · Elo 27% | 26%· Elo 27% |
| 1 – Kortrijk win | 27%37% · Elo 27% | 37%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Kortrijk attack vs Mechelen defenceattack1379defence1441−62 pts to the attack
Mechelen attack vs Kortrijk defenceattack1444defence1394+50 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 58%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 42%
We expect 8.1 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.555%61%
8.542%50%
9.530%40%
10.520%28%
Each team on its own
Kortrijkwe expect 3.8, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 34%
Mechelenwe expect 3.8, league average 4.0 · chance of over 3.5: 51%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 52%close to the league averageunder 49%over
We expect 21.0 in this match, 21.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.559%63%
20.552%55%
21.544%47%
22.537%39%
Each team on its own
Kortrijkwe expect 10.9, league average 10.1 · chance of over 10.5: 52%
Mechelenwe expect 10.1, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 43%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.567%62%
3.545%43%
4.527%28%
5.514%17%
Each team on its own
Kortrijkwe expect 1.9, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 54%
Mechelenwe expect 1.6, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 47%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Mechelen11 matches without a win awayWent on 77%League 67%Model 54%Record 28
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Mechelen concede 2.2 goals per game
- Kortrijk: newly promoted
- Kortrijk: 13 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Mechelen: 12 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Mechelen | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:17 | 6 |
| 17 | Kortrijk | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2:18 | 3 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Kortrijk vs Mechelen?
Mechelen are the favourites. Chances: Kortrijk win 27%, draw 27%, Mechelen win 47%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Kortrijk vs Mechelen?
Expected goals: 2.7 (Kortrijk 1.1, Mechelen 1.6). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 50%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Kortrijk vs Mechelen?
The Pro League match kicks off 23 October 2026, 19:45 (UK time).