Pro LeagueMatchday 6

Mechelen 0-1 Anderlecht: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
AFAS Stadion, Mechelen
Referee:
Erik Lambrechts

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Lost64%

7.0 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.2 in the visitors', league average 10.1; our numbers: 9.5 corners against a league average of 10.1

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost57%

    over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:2Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloMechelen160923%26%Draw25%27%Anderlecht176953%47%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%57%O2.557%54%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.5not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Anderlecht2:2MechelenD
  2. Mechelen1:2AnderlechtL
  3. Mechelen1:0AnderlechtW
  4. Anderlecht3:1MechelenL
  5. Anderlecht4:1MechelenL
Mechelen's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 10.1under 10.5: 64%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 15
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 52%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 5
RefereeE. Lambrechts+0.1 cards vs average27 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.8total 2.9Attack/defence1.3 : 1.5total 2.8
Mechelen : Anderlecht
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-210%0-19%0-29%2-16%1-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-29%0-19%0-27%2-18%1-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-21-210%1-29%0-10-19%0-19%0-20-29%0-27%2-12-16%2-18%1-01-0—1-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%77%77%
X2 – away team avoid defeat78%66%66%
12 – no draw76%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals66%69%69%
Both teams to score: yes58%57%57%
Over 2.5 goals57%54%54%
2 – Anderlecht win53%40% · Elo 47%40%· Elo 47%
1X – home team avoid defeat48%60%60%
Under 2.5 goals43%47%47%
Both teams to score: no42%43%43%
Over 3.5 goals34%31%31%
X – draw25%26% · Elo 27%26%· Elo 27%
1 – Mechelen win23%34% · Elo 26%34%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals20%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Mechelen attack vs Anderlecht defenceattack1453defence1533−80 pts to the attack
Anderlecht attack vs Mechelen defenceattack1521defence1433+88 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Mechelen concede 2.3 goals per game
  • Mechelen matches average only 6.8 corners (league 10.1) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Mechelen: no win in 9 matches
  • Mechelen: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Anderlecht: 5 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Anderlecht85129:616
14Mechelen81349:176
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Mechelen vs Anderlecht?

Mechelen 0-1 Anderlecht (half time 0-1).

Did the Mechelen vs Anderlecht tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip lost.