Pro LeagueMatchday 3

Charleroi 2-0 Mechelen: prediction, tips and result

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2-0Full time(half time 1-0)
Stadium:
Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
Referee:
Jan Boterberg

The match in numbers

1X2EloCharleroi172558%48%Draw24%27%Mechelen160918%26%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%55%O2.555%54%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Mechelen1:0CharleroiL
  2. Charleroi0:2MechelenL
  3. Mechelen1:1CharleroiD
  4. Charleroi3:0MechelenW
  5. Charleroi0:1MechelenL
Charleroi's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 10.1under 10.5: 61%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 5
Cardsleague cards3.8league 4.0over 3.5: 51%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 4.0 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.lost · ended 0
RefereeJ. Boterberg−0.3 cards vs average27 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.0total 2.9Attack/defence1.7 : 1.1total 2.8
Charleroi : Mechelen
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-010%1-010%2-110%0-0—0-1—3-06%Attack/defence1-112%2-09%1-010%2-110%0-06%0-16%3-0—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-02-010%2-09%1-01-010%1-010%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-0—0-06%0-10-1—0-16%3-03-06%3-0—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat82%76%76%
Over 1.5 goals79%77%77%
12 – no draw76%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals68%69%69%
1 – Charleroi win58%51% · Elo 48%51%· Elo 48%
Over 2.5 goals55%54%54%
Both teams to score: yes54%55%55%
Both teams to score: no46%45%45%
Under 2.5 goals45%47%47%
X2 – away team avoid defeat42%49%49%
Over 3.5 goals32%31%31%
X – draw24%25% · Elo 27%25%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals21%23%23%
2 – Mechelen win18%24% · Elo 26%24%· Elo 26%
Attack vs defence
Charleroi attack vs Mechelen defenceattack1498defence1450+48 pts to the attack
Mechelen attack vs Charleroi defenceattack1471defence1544−73 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Mechelen concede 2.7 goals per game
  • Charleroi: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Mechelen: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Mechelen matches average only 7.0 corners (league 10.1) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Charleroi concede only 0.6 goals per game
  • Charleroi: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Mechelen: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Charleroi870116:721
14Mechelen81349:176
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Charleroi vs Mechelen?

Charleroi 2-0 Mechelen (half time 1-0).