Pro LeagueMatchday 1

Charleroi 3-1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven: prediction, tips and result

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3-1Full time(half time 1-1)
Stadium:
Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
Referee:
Michiel Allaerts

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won73%

referee Michiel Allaerts averages 3.1 cards a match, league average 4.0; our numbers: 3.4 cards against a league average of 4.0

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost13%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloCharleroi172553%52%Draw26%26%Oud-Heverlee Leuven156821%22%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%52%O2.547%49%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Charleroi1:1Oud-Heverlee LeuvenD
  2. Oud-Heverlee Leuven0:2CharleroiW
  3. Charleroi0:2Oud-Heverlee LeuvenL
  4. Oud-Heverlee Leuven2:2CharleroiD
  5. Charleroi2:1Oud-Heverlee LeuvenW
Charleroi's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.1under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards3.4league 4.0under 4.5: 73%Expected cards: 3.4 in this match, 4.0 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 4
RefereeM. Allaerts−1.1 cards vs average14 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 0.9total 2.5Attack/defence1.6 : 1.1total 2.6
Charleroi : Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-012%2-010%2-110%0-09%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-09%2-110%0-08%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-012%1-011%2-02-010%2-09%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-09%0-08%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat79%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals75%73%73%
12 – no draw74%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals73%74%74%
1 – Charleroi win53%49% · Elo 52%49%· Elo 52%
Under 2.5 goals53%51%51%
Both teams to score: no51%48%48%
Both teams to score: yes49%52%52%
X2 – away team avoid defeat47%51%51%
Over 2.5 goals47%49%49%
Under 1.5 goals27%26%26%
X – draw26%26% · Elo 26%26%· Elo 26%
Over 3.5 goals25%27%27%
2 – Oud-Heverlee Leuven win21%25% · Elo 22%25%· Elo 22%
Attack vs defence
Charleroi attack vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven defenceattack1487defence1473+14 pts to the attack
Oud-Heverlee Leuven attack vs Charleroi defenceattack1432defence1531−99 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Oud-Heverlee Leuven matches average only 2.6 cards (league 4.0) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Charleroi: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals

League form

Charleroi

No matches played this season yet.

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

No matches played this season yet.

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Charleroi870116:721
15Oud-Heverlee Leuven81256:145
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Charleroi vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven?

Charleroi 3-1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven (half time 1-1).

Did the Charleroi vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.