Pro LeagueMatchday 8

Genk 3-0 Kortrijk: prediction, tips and result

·

Genk
4-44-00-01-10-3
3-0Full time(half time 2-0)
Kortrijk
1-00-30-20-11-3
Stadium:
Cegeka Arena, Genk
Referee:
Wim Smet

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won63%

over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

Other tips

  • Shots on Target – Genk: Over 4.5Won65%

    our numbers for Genk: 5.7 shots on target against a league average of 4.8; Genk: over 4.5 shots on target in 4 of their last 7 league matches, Kortrijk's opponents had over 4.5 in 6 of 7 (51% of league matches)

  • Fouls – Kortrijk: Under 10.5Won57%

    our numbers for Kortrijk: 10.1 fouls against a league average of 10.9; Kortrijk: under 10.5 fouls in 4 of their last 7 league matches, Genk's opponents committed under 10.5 in 5 of 7 (44% of league matches)

  • Offsides – Kortrijk: Over 1.5Lost57%

    our numbers for Kortrijk: 1.9 offsides against a league average of 1.7

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost41%

our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloGenk177369%74%Draw18%16%Kortrijk146713%10%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%55%O2.564%59%|exp. goals 2.1 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Genk3:2KortrijkW
  2. Kortrijk2:1GenkL
  3. Genk4:0KortrijkW
  4. Kortrijk0:3GenkW
  5. Kortrijk1:0GenkL
Genk's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.1under 10.5: 60%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.5league 3.7under 3.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 3
RefereeW. Smet−0.3 yellow cards vs average7 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)74%O2.52:0coverageleague 59% · H2H 4/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.4 : 0.9total 3.3Attack/defence2.1 : 1.0total 3.1
Genk : Kortrijk
Most likely scores
Market2-010%2-110%1-19%1-08%3-08%3-1—Attack/defence2-010%2-110%1-110%1-010%3-07%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-010%2-010%2-12-110%2-110%1-11-19%1-110%1-01-08%1-010%3-03-08%3-07%3-13-1—3-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat87%84%84%
Over 1.5 goals85%81%81%
12 – no draw82%79%79%
1 – Genk win69%63% · Elo 74%63%· Elo 74%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals64%59%59%
Under 3.5 goals58%63%63%
Both teams to score: yes56%55%55%
Both teams to score: no44%45%45%
Over 3.5 goals42%37%37%
Under 2.5 goals36%41%41%
X2 – away team avoid defeat31%37%37%
X – draw18%21% · Elo 16%21%· Elo 16%
Under 1.5 goals15%19%19%
2 – Kortrijk win13%16% · Elo 10%16%· Elo 10%
Attack vs defence
Genk attack vs Kortrijk defenceattack1559defence1394+165 pts to the attack
Kortrijk attack vs Genk defenceattack1387defence1532−145 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 50%close to the league averageunder 50%over
We expect 8.7 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.563%61%
8.550%50%
9.538%40%
10.527%28%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Genkwe expect 5.7, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 65%
Kortrijkwe expect 3.1, league average 4.0 · chance of over 3.5: 38%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 50%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunder 50%over
We expect 20.9 in this match, 21.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.558%63%
20.550%56%
21.543%48%
22.536%39%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Genkwe expect 9.6, league average 10.1 · chance of over 10.5: 37%
Kortrijkwe expect 10.1, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 43%
Referee: 22.3 fouls per match on average (7 matches in our data)+3.0 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 53%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 47%over
We expect 3.8 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.573%62%
3.553%42%
4.534%28%
5.519%17%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Genkwe expect 1.9, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 56%
Kortrijkwe expect 1.9, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 57%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Genk concede a lot late on: 11 of 24 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Kortrijk: newly promoted
  • Genk: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Kortrijk: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Genk

Kortrijk

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Genk833216:1212
17Kortrijk81072:183
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Genk vs Kortrijk?

Genk 3-0 Kortrijk (half time 2-0).

Did the Genk vs Kortrijk tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.

See also