Pro LeagueMatchday 6

Genk 1-1 Gent: prediction, tips and result

·

1-1Full time(half time 0-1)
Stadium:
Cegeka Arena, Genk
Referee:
Nathan Verboomen

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Lost61%

9.6 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 7.8 in the visitors', league average 10.1

For the brave
Corners: Under 9.5Lost49%

under 9.5 corners in 3 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (44% of league matches); 9.6 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 7.8 in the visitors', league average 10.1

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloGenk177343%48%Draw28%27%Gent173829%25%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%56%O2.549%53%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Gent0:0GenkD
  2. Genk3:0GentW
  3. Gent1:1GenkD
  4. Gent1:4GenkW
  5. Genk4:0GentW
Genk's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 10.1under 10.5: 61%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 52%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.won · ended 7
RefereeN. Verboomen+0.2 cards vs average26 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.2total 2.7Attack/defence1.6 : 1.2total 2.8
Genk : Gent
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-010%2-19%0-08%2-08%0-1—1-2—Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-19%0-0—2-08%0-17%1-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-010%1-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-00-08%0-0—2-02-08%2-08%0-10-1—0-17%1-21-2—1-27%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals75%77%77%
Under 3.5 goals73%70%70%
12 – no draw72%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat71%73%73%
X2 – away team avoid defeat57%53%53%
Both teams to score: yes54%56%56%
Under 2.5 goals51%48%48%
Over 2.5 goals49%53%53%
Both teams to score: no46%44%44%
1 – Genk win43%47% · Elo 48%47%· Elo 48%
2 – Gent win29%27% · Elo 25%27%· Elo 25%
X – draw28%25% · Elo 27%25%· Elo 27%
Over 3.5 goals27%30%30%
Under 1.5 goals25%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Genk attack vs Gent defenceattack1563defence1545+18 pts to the attack
Gent attack vs Genk defenceattack1505defence1547−42 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Gent: 5 wins in a row
  • Gent: 19 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Genk concede a lot late on: 11 of 22 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Genk: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Gent: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Gent871015:422
7Genk833216:1212
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Genk vs Gent?

Genk 1-1 Gent (half time 0-1).

Did the Genk vs Gent tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip lost.