Pro LeagueMatchday 3

Gent 1-0 Oud-Heverlee Leuven: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Ghelamco Arena, Ghent
Referee:
Michiel Allaerts

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won59%

referee Michiel Allaerts averages 3.1 cards a match, league average 3.9; our numbers: 3.3 cards against a league average of 3.9

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Lost37%

referee Michiel Allaerts averages 3.1 cards a match, league average 3.9

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloGent173857%56%Draw25%24%Oud-Heverlee Leuven156818%20%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%54%O2.548%52%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Gent1:3Oud-Heverlee LeuvenL
  2. Oud-Heverlee Leuven4:0GentL
  3. Oud-Heverlee Leuven0:0GentD
  4. Gent3:0Oud-Heverlee LeuvenW
  5. Gent0:1Oud-Heverlee LeuvenL
Gent's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.1under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.9under 3.5: 59%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.won · ended 3
RefereeM. Allaerts−1.0 cards vs average16 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 0.9total 2.6Attack/defence1.7 : 1.1total 2.8
Gent : Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-012%2-011%2-110%0-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-09%2-110%0-07%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-012%1-011%2-02-011%2-09%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-08%0-07%0-10-1—0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat82%77%77%
12 – no draw75%75%75%
Over 1.5 goals74%76%76%
Under 3.5 goals74%70%70%
1 – Gent win57%53% · Elo 56%53%· Elo 56%
Under 2.5 goals52%48%48%
Both teams to score: no51%46%46%
Both teams to score: yes49%54%54%
Over 2.5 goals48%52%52%
X2 – away team avoid defeat43%47%47%
Under 1.5 goals26%24%24%
Over 3.5 goals26%30%30%
X – draw25%25% · Elo 24%25%· Elo 24%
2 – Oud-Heverlee Leuven win18%23% · Elo 20%23%· Elo 20%
Attack vs defence
Gent attack vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven defenceattack1504defence1452+52 pts to the attack
Oud-Heverlee Leuven attack vs Gent defenceattack1422defence1528−106 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Oud-Heverlee Leuven concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Oud-Heverlee Leuven matches average only 2.2 cards (league 3.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Oud-Heverlee Leuven: 4 defeats in a row
  • Gent: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Oud-Heverlee Leuven: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Gent871015:422
15Oud-Heverlee Leuven81256:145
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Gent vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven?

Gent 1-0 Oud-Heverlee Leuven (half time 0-0).

Did the Gent vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.