Pro LeagueMatchday 4

Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1-2 Standard: prediction, tips and result

Saturday 29 August · 19:45

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

1-3 0-3

1-2Full time(half time 0-1)

Standard

2-0 3-3 2-2

Stadium:: King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, Heverlee
Referee:: Kevin Van Damme

The match in numbers

1X2EloOud-Heverlee Leuven156836%31%Draw28%28%Standard166236%41%favourite did not win

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%52%O2.552%46%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.2both scored

H2Hlast 5 meetings

08/05/202608/05/26Standard2:1Oud-Heverlee LeuvenL
04/04/202604/04/26Oud-Heverlee Leuven1:3StandardL
12/12/202512/12/25Standard0:1Oud-Heverlee LeuvenW
31/08/202531/08/25Oud-Heverlee Leuven1:0StandardW
26/04/202526/04/25Oud-Heverlee Leuven1:1StandardD

Oud-Heverlee Leuven's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.2 goals per match

Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.1under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9

Cardsleague cards3.9league 3.9over 3.5: 54%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 4

RefereeK. Van Damme+0.4 cards vs average17 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market1.4 : 1.4total 2.8Attack/defence1.3 : 1.2total 2.5

Oud-Heverlee Leuven : Standard

Most likely scores

Market1-113%1-08%0-18%2-18%0-0—1-28%Attack/defence1-113%1-010%0-19%2-18%0-08%1-28%

MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-08%1-010%0-10-18%0-19%2-12-18%2-18%0-00-0—0-08%1-21-28%1-28%

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
Over 1.5 goals	77%72%	72%
12 – no draw	72%73%	73%
Under 3.5 goals	70%75%	75%
1X – home team avoid defeat	64%67%	67%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	64%61%	61%
Both teams to score: yes	57%52%	52%
Over 2.5 goals	52%46%	46%
Under 2.5 goals	48%54%	54%
Both teams to score: no	43%48%	48%
1 – Oud-Heverlee Leuven win	36%39% · Elo 31%	39%· Elo 31%
2 – Standard win	36%33% · Elo 41%	33%· Elo 41%
Over 3.5 goals	30%25%	25%
X – draw	28%28% · Elo 28%	28%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals	23%28%	28%

Attack vs defence

Oud-Heverlee Leuven attack vs Standard defenceattack1423defence1515−92 pts to the attack

Standard attack vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven defenceattack1426defence1455−29 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Oud-Heverlee Leuven concede 2.0 goals per game
Oud-Heverlee Leuven matches average only 2.5 cards (league 3.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
Oud-Heverlee Leuven: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
Standard: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

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