Challenger AntofagastaChallenger 75Round of 16claybest of three sets
Aguilar Cardozo vs Midon 1:2: result and our tips
·
1:2final6:7(1) 6:2 6:7(9)
Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo53%
Lautaro Midon47%
Elo: J. Aguilar Cardozo 46% · L. Midon 54%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 J. Aguilar Cardozo34%
2:1 J. Aguilar Cardozo20%
2:1 L. Midon19%
2:0 L. Midon28%
First set
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo53%
Lautaro Midon47%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 56%market (no margin): 49%
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 72% | 28% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 63% | 37% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 56% | 44% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 50% | 50% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 44% | 56% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 40% | 60% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 62% | 36% |
Sample: 4,428 matches
Games handicap
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo −1.549%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes18%
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Under 21.5out · 34 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | Lautaro Midon | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aces | 3 |
| 8 | Double faults | 4 |
| 68% | First serves in | 48% |
| 58% | First-serve points won | 64% |
| 41% | Second-serve points won | 43% |
| 8/10 | Break points converted | 6/12 |
| 10/16 | Service games held | 8/16 |
| 53% | Service points won | 53% |
| 47% | Return points won | 48% |
| 118 | Total points won | 119 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Aguilar Cardozo | Tour | L. Midon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 62% | 59% |
| Return points won | 44% | 38% | 42% |
| Service games held | 71% | 76% | 69% |
| Breaks of serve | 38% | 24% | 32% |
| Aces per service game | 0.12 | 0.30 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.21 | 0.19 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 13% | 11% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/10 | 10/17 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 53% | |
| Matches in the sample | 31 | 63 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
- 06/10/26WNicolas Villalon Valdes#712Challenger Antofagasta · R326:2 7:5
- 05/10/26WLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez#533Challenger Antofagasta · Q26:3 0:6 6:3
- 04/10/26WSantiago De la Fuente#719Challenger Antofagasta · Q16:1 6:7 6:0
- 26/09/26LAlex Barrena#224Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · SF4:6 3:6
- 25/09/26WJuan Pablo Varillas#200Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · QF6:2 6:4
- 23/09/26WFrancisco Comesana#125Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R167:5 6:7 6:4
- 22/09/26WCarlos Maria Zarate#352Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R326:2 6:1
- 21/09/26WFederico Aguilar CardozoChallenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q26:4 7:5
- 21/09/26WMateo Del PinoChallenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q16:1 6:2
- 26/06/26LMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida#255Challenger Piracicaba · QF6:7 2:6
Lautaro Midon
- 06/10/26WJose Pereira#778Challenger Antofagasta · R326:3 4:6 6:0
- 02/10/26LGustavo Heide#116Challenger Curitiba · QF2:6 4:6
- 30/09/26WBruno Fernandez#567Challenger Curitiba · R166:2 7:5
- 29/09/26WMatias Soto#252Challenger Curitiba · R326:3 6:3
- 24/08/26LKyrian Jacquet#76ATP US Open · Q14:6 3:6
- 20/08/26LClement Chidekh#146Challenger Kingston · QF1:6 3:6
- 19/08/26WIgor Marcondes#274Challenger Kingston · R166:7 6:3
- 17/08/26WDan Martin#646Challenger Kingston · R326:3 5:7 6:4
- 16/07/26LAlejandro Tabilo#30ATP Bastad · R164:6 7:6 4:6
- 14/07/26WFacundo Diaz Acosta#69ATP Bastad · R323:6 6:4 6:2
Elo over the last year
Joaquin Aguilar CardozoLautaro Midon
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Aguilar Cardozo | L. Midon | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–0 | 6–367% |
| Clay | 21–1166% | 32–2160% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 0–10% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
- 04/10/26WSantiago De la Fuente#719Challenger Antofagasta · Q16:1 6:7 6:0
- 05/10/26WLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez#533Challenger Antofagasta · Q26:3 0:6 6:3
- 06/10/26WNicolas Villalon Valdes#712Challenger Antofagasta · R326:2 7:5
Lautaro Midon
- 06/10/26WJose Pereira#778Challenger Antofagasta · R326:3 4:6 6:0