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Challenger NingboChallenger 75Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Binda vs Hurrion 2:1: result and our tips

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Alexander BindaATP #466Elo 1549hard 1539
2:1final3:6 6:3 6:4
Millen HurrionATP #502Elo 1516hard 1520

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 23.5Lost60%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 23.5 games in recent matches: Binda 16 of 20, Hurrion 15 of 20 (tour average 63%)

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    No third set in recent matches: Binda 17 of 20, Hurrion 15 of 20 (tour average 66%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Alexander Binda42%
Millen Hurrion59%

Elo: A. Binda 53% · M. Hurrion 47%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Binda25%
2:1 A. Binda17%
2:1 M. Hurrion21%
2:0 M. Hurrion38%

First set

Alexander Binda44%
Millen Hurrion56%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%28%71%
19.564%36%62%
20.557%43%54%
21.551%49%49%
22.544%56%42%
23.541%60%37%
24.538%62%35%

Sample: 5,929 matches

Games handicap

M. Hurrion −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes29%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 21.5in · 28 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Alexander BindaMillen Hurrion
3Aces3
3Double faults3
61%First serves in67%
71%First-serve points won71%
57%Second-serve points won45%
2/10Break points converted1/6
13/14Service games held12/14
65%Service points won62%
38%Return points won35%
97Total points won91

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. BindaTourM. Hurrion
Service points won60%62%60%
Return points won40%38%39%
Service games held71%76%72%
Breaks of serve29%24%25%
Aces per service game0.350.32
Double faults per game0.300.27
Sets with a tie-break12%18%
Tie-breaks won5/125/9
Wins in straight sets77%89%
Matches in the sample4522

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alexander Binda

  • 25/10/26WJia HuChallenger Ningbo · Q16:4 6:2
  • 18/10/26LYaroslav Demin#596Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q13:6 6:7
  • 29/09/26LAdam Walton#98Challenger Jingshan · Q21:6 0:6
  • 28/09/26WSidharth Rawat#656Challenger Jingshan · Q16:3 6:3
  • 18/09/26LBernard Tomic#179Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · QF3:6 4:6
  • 17/09/26WFajing Sun#292Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R164:6 7:6 6:4
  • 15/09/26WAoran WangChallenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R326:3 6:4
  • 14/09/26WKosuke Ogura#794Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q26:4 4:6 6:4
  • 13/09/26WKaito UesugiChallenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q17:6 6:3
  • 08/09/26LTung-Lin Wu#375Challenger Shanghai · R326:7 2:6

Millen Hurrion

  • 25/10/26WKaigaoge KangChallenger Ningbo · Q16:4 6:0
  • 18/10/26LKoki Matsuda#463Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q13:6 6:4 6:7
  • 24/08/26LOliver Bonding#660Challenger Roehampton 2 · Q23:6 4:6
  • 23/08/26WMarcus Walters#894Challenger Roehampton 2 · Q16:2 6:4
  • 06/08/26LAndres Martin#354Challenger Lexington · R163:6 6:4 2:6
  • 04/08/26WJack Pinnington Jones#188Challenger Lexington · R327:6 6:4
  • 03/08/26WTyler Zink#442Challenger Lexington · Q27:6 5:7 7:6
  • 02/08/26WAlex Hernandez#497Challenger Lexington · Q16:4 6:4
  • 21/07/26LLiam Draxl#194Challenger Winnipeg · R320:6 0:6
  • 20/07/26WRenta Tokuda#907Challenger Winnipeg · Q27:5 6:1

Elo over the last year

Alexander BindaMillen Hurrion

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. BindaM. Hurrion
Hard court19–2049%9–1145%
Clay3–350%0–0
Grass0–00–20%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Alexander Binda

Millen Hurrion