Challenger FlorenceChallenger 50Round of 16claybest of three sets

Bondioli vs Forti: prediction and tips

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Federico BondioliATP #326Elo 1720clay 1730
-:-
Francesco FortiATP #329Elo 1653clay 1649

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Federico Bondioli40%
Francesco Forti60%

Elo: F. Bondioli 61% · F. Forti 39%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Bondioli23%
2:1 F. Bondioli17%
2:1 F. Forti22%
2:0 F. Forti39%

First set

Federico Bondioli42%
Francesco Forti58%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 49%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%28%68%
19.563%37%59%
20.556%44%52%
21.551%49%46%
22.544%56%40%
23.541%60%36%
24.538%62%34%

Sample: 4,919 matches

Games handicap

Francesco Forti −2.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes28%

tour average 27%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. BondioliTourF. Forti
Service points won60%62%63%
Return points won39%38%40%
Service games held73%76%77%
Breaks of serve26%24%26%
Aces per service game0.310.43
Double faults per game0.280.19
Sets with a tie-break16%21%
Tie-breaks won8/1613/25
Wins in straight sets53%63%
Matches in the sample4051

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Federico Bondioli

  • 19/10/26WZdenek Kolar#206Challenger Florence · R324:6 6:3 6:2
  • 13/10/26LEnrico Dalla Valle#303Challenger Catania · R321:6 7:5 6:7
  • 31/08/26LFederico Arnaboldi#469Challenger Como · R324:2
  • 19/07/26LMax Alcala Gurri#132Challenger Cordenons · F2:6 0:6
  • 18/07/26WMatyas Fuele#622Challenger Cordenons · SF6:2 6:4
  • 17/07/26WSumit Nagal#281Challenger Cordenons · QF1:6 7:5 6:3
  • 15/07/26WGuido Ivan Justo#184Challenger Cordenons · R166:3 7:6
  • 14/07/26WAlvaro Guillen Meza#345Challenger Cordenons · R326:7 6:3 7:6
  • 10/07/26LHenry Bernet#364Challenger Trieste · QF6:2 6:7 3:6
  • 09/07/26WMaxim Mrva#234Challenger Trieste · R167:5 6:0

Francesco Forti

Elo over the last year

Federico BondioliFrancesco Forti

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. BondioliF. Forti
Hard court1–325%2–340%
Clay18–1751%28–1861%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

F. Bondioli 0–1 F. Forti

  • 22/02/26Winner: Francesco Forti6:3 6:7 5:7

Road through the tournament

Federico Bondioli

Francesco Forti